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60 Minutes News

    Prediction markets for 60 Minutes

    Bitcoin below $60K in 2026?

    Dec 29, 12:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    75.96%chance
    12256272

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1779

    563

    AI Cult exists by 2027

    Feb 8, 8:02 PMMay 2, 6:59 AM
    79.82%chance
    18029158

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    2635

    1864

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1295

    725

    Boston Bruins (NHL)

    Oct 27, 9:32 AMApr 20, 9:20 PM
    1011833

    OptionProbability

    David Pastrnak finish as leading goal scorer for the Bruins in 2024-25

    Cole Koepke plays 35 games with Bruins in 2024-25

    Mark Kastelic plays 50+ games with Bruins in 2024-25

    Bruins 10+ overtime losses in 2024-25

    Bruins in Stanley Cup series by 2030

    Bruins change logo by 2040

    David Pastrnak 50+ goals AND 100 points in 2024-25

    David Pastrnak 10+ power play goals in 2024-25

    Charlie McAvoy 12+ goals in 2024-25

    Charlie McAvoy 40+ assists in 2024-25

    Brad Marchand 70+ points in 2024-25

    Brad Marchand 60+ penalty minutes in 2024-25

    Hampus Lindholm 70+ games plays with Bruins in 2024-25

    Elias Lindholm finish as a point per game player in 2024-25

    Bruins finish 2024-25 with 100 points

    Bruins make it to 2024-25 Conference Finals (round 3 of NHL playoffs)

    100

    100

    100

    100

    46

    46

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    What civil time system will be used on Mars?

    Jan 10, 1:11 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM
    262000

    OptionProbability

    A day will be 24 hours, 39 minutes and 35.244 SI seconds long

    Other

    A day will be 24h×60m×60s using a "mars second" equal to 1.0275 SI seconds.

    A day will be 24h×60m×60s where a "second" is a unit of angle rather than time, equal to 1/86400 of a revolution w.r.t the sun (i.e. the equivalent of Earth's UT1, this is called "Coordinated Mars Time")

    A day will be 24h×60m×60s using SI seconds (and will drift with respect to mean solar time by ~40 minutes a day)

    Time of day will be an incrementing number of SI seconds from 0 to 88775.244 (possibly rounded to an integer, with leap-seconds every 4 days or whatever, or no leap seconds and allowing it to drift)

    49

    30

    10

    6

    3

    1

    OptionProbability

    Before 2050

    Before 2047

    Before 2044

    Before 2041

    Before 2038

    Before 2035

    Before 2032

    Before 2030

    Before 2028

    Before 2026

    81

    76

    72

    65

    57

    45

    35

    26

    14

    3

    Will the hard problem of consciousness be solved by 2048?

    May 11, 4:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    33.11%chance
    18613

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1224

    865

    Is Anthropic woke?

    Feb 26, 1:34 AMJul 1, 4:59 AM
    82.72%chance
    8390

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    219

    46

    Humanoid Robot Finishes a 10K Race Under 60 Minutes by 2030

    Feb 4, 9:40 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
    89.78%chance
    8259

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    296

    34

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    106

    94

    Trump vs the media: Which lawsuits will succeed?

    Dec 27, 1:11 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM
    5122

    OptionProbability

    CBS case, over 60 Minutes Harris interview

    Trump defamation suit against NYT (filed September 2025)

    Des Moines Register case, over Ann Selzer poll

    Simon & Schuster case, over Bob Woodward book

    100

    50

    11

    0

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    100

    100

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