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Prediction markets for Accel

Will the scientific consensus that the universe's expansion is accelerating end before the end of 2030?

Sep 2, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.04%chance

9575797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2229

1904

Will the new Tesla Roadster have rockets providing propulsion (not extra grip) for additional acceleration?

Apr 1, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.68%chance

3515415

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4741

123

Will I Think Extropic AI Accelerated Timelines by EOY 2027?

Dec 2, 11:00 AMDec 10, 7:59 AM

10.57%chance

272344

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2370

678

By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts?

Mar 8, 9:38 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

33.2%chance

201727

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

936

Will Anthropic’s revenue growth re-accelerate in Q4 2026?

Oct 15, 10:29 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

35.69%chance

131541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2684

1490

Is Russia accelerating the climate crisis?

Feb 27, 7:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.45%chance

131417

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

913

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

28.12%chance

251306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1669

510

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

72.1%chance

281123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

993

955

Will a major cosmological simulation be AI-accelerated by the end of 2027?

Oct 12, 1:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.67%chance

28878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1235

577

Will Y Combinator accept fewer companies into its accelerator between 2028-2030 than between 2020-2022?

Jan 5, 8:09 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

54.17%chance

23774

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1065

923

Will we see analog accelerators in consumer hardware by the end of 2026?

Nov 15, 3:40 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11.93%chance

14609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1350

926

Will there be a lunar particle accelerator by the beginning of 2050?

Nov 15, 7:04 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

26.84%chance

17330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

892

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