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Prediction markets for Act 22

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

81.31%chance

93929

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

954

Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 29, 2:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.33%chance

101787

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

1017

Will pro-Russian armed groups take control of a government building in any Baltic city or town by November 30, 2026?

Aug 27, 6:15 AMNov 30, 10:00 PM

9%chance

81182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

31

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.21%chance

14835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

943

Will Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 29, 2:27 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM

41.81%chance

10645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

340

219

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

43.33%chance

5398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

874

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

55

53

51

50

28

Will Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?

Aug 12, 4:29 PMNov 6, 11:59 PM

42%chance

4260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

46

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.99%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Italy: Will Parliament curb prosecutors' judicial police powers by EOY 2029? (unconditional)

Mar 12, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.23%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

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