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Prediction markets for Act 22

Will Fed (Kevin Warsh) cut interest rates by July 2026?

Jun 9, 9:55 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

1.61%chance

259809

OptionVotes

YES

NO

782

13

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

81.31%chance

93929

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

954

Will Iran retaliate against the US naval blockade by July 1 2026?

Apr 14, 5:37 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

6.76%chance

271130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

254

6

Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 29, 2:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.27%chance

8827

OptionVotes

NO

YES

659

165

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

43.33%chance

5398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

874

Will Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 29, 2:27 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM

69.41%chance

5355

OptionVotes

NO

YES

490

100

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

55

53

51

50

28

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32%chance

7150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

69

Italy: Will Parliament curb prosecutors' judicial police powers by EOY 2029? (unconditional)

Mar 12, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.23%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

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