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Prediction markets for Advance Tax

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2025?

Jul 11, 6:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.43%chance

43450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4870

821

By which year will longevity research enable a pet cat's lifespan to be extended by 10 years?

Dec 2, 6:38 PMJan 1, 6:08 PM

14602

OptionProbability

By 2040

By 2030

By 2050

By 2060

By 2070

By 2080

37

17

15

13

11

7

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?

Jun 30, 9:06 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4240

OptionProbability

Yes

No

Other

54

23

23

Will the levelized cost of electricity from advanced nuclear be less than $60/MWh by 2030 (in the US)?

Dec 18, 3:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

8134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

195

178

US ends citizenship-based taxation by 2030?

Nov 2, 12:56 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

23.58%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

56

By 2031, will MIRI still require the services of a CPA or equivalent professional to prepare their 2030 tax form?

Jul 11, 4:43 PMJul 12, 6:59 AM

63%chance

541

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

100

Will Section 45X Advanced Manufacturing Production Tax Credit be cut in at least half by 2027?

Jul 15, 12:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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