Advanced Trade News

What policies will Zohran Mamdani implement?

Jun 25, 2:29 AMJan 26, 3:27 AM

786126

OptionProbability

Any policies that in line of requirement for all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age

Change how caseworkers, inspectors, teachers, social workers handle things within existing law

Raise corporate tax

A rent freeze in rent-stabilized housing

Creating the Department of Community Safety

Commit 0.5% of NYC's budget to libraries

Free childcare in NYC

Raise income tax

At least two grocery stores operated by the city government

Appoint a Mom-and-Pop Czar

Free city buses

Pass a law for a $30 minimum wage by 2030

When will an AI-related event dominate the mainstream news cycle for at least three consecutive days?

Jan 21, 6:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

172420

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2030 and after. . . or we're all dead before the news comes out.

2028

2029

Will university fusion continue in Paris until only 1 huge one remain? (Before Nov. 2027)

Nov 6, 9:48 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

6.62%chance

8895

OptionVotes

YES

382

Proof of Personhood SDK stock

Apr 8, 8:05 PMApr 9, 6:29 PM

21351

OptionProbability

YES

416

404

If I die, will I be successfully cryopreserved?

Jul 24, 9:53 PMDec 31, 10:46 PM

60.34%chance

7337

OptionVotes

YES

1233

811

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

YES

1051

819

Will the S&P 500 offer a REAL CAGR greater than 8% from 2024 until 2050?

Dec 25, 10:46 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

48.47%chance

13216

OptionVotes

YES

1016

970

Significant attack on post-quantum signature SPHINCS+ published before Nov 2026

Nov 21, 8:04 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

10%chance

3162

OptionVotes

YES

210

If we had an AI in the 2020s that could exactly duplicate a strawberry, would that destroy the world? (In 2050-hindsight)

Feb 22, 4:00 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

53.76%chance

8160

OptionVotes

YES

169

166

Significant attack on post-quantum KEM Kyber published before Nov 2026

Nov 19, 9:38 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

19.12%chance

5155

OptionVotes

YES

183

Will Casey Means be confirmed as Surgeon General?

Feb 26, 8:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.59%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

135

Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026

Nov 21, 8:05 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

35.7%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

Advanced Trade News

Prediction markets for Advanced Trade

Prediction markets for Advanced Trade

Prediction markets for Advanced Trade

What policies will Zohran Mamdani implement?

When will an AI-related event dominate the mainstream news cycle for at least three consecutive days?

Will university fusion continue in Paris until only 1 huge one remain? (Before Nov. 2027)

Proof of Personhood SDK stock

If I die, will I be successfully cryopreserved?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Will the S&P 500 offer a REAL CAGR greater than 8% from 2024 until 2050?

Significant attack on post-quantum signature SPHINCS+ published before Nov 2026

If we had an AI in the 2020s that could exactly duplicate a strawberry, would that destroy the world? (In 2050-hindsight)

Significant attack on post-quantum KEM Kyber published before Nov 2026

Will Casey Means be confirmed as Surgeon General?

Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026

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