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Prediction markets for Advanced Trade

Will the GTA VI leaker be publicly identified before GTA VI releases?

Aug 22, 6:26 AMNov 19, 11:59 PM

13.49%chance

252657

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2532

395

When will an AI-related event dominate the mainstream news cycle for at least three consecutive days?

Jan 21, 6:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

182632

OptionProbability

2027

2030 and after. . . or we're all dead before the news comes out.

2028

2026

2029

53

17

16

12

10

Do you think Bayern would win the second leg against Real Madrid

Apr 7, 11:20 PMDec 30, 11:19 PM

99%chance

92593

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 500 tpa on December 31, 2026?

Mar 30, 9:46 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

79.28%chance

42349

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

78

Will Bitcoin exceed $100,000 before December 31, 2026?

Feb 19, 7:54 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

16%chance

282069

OptionVotes

YES

NO

229

44

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.17%chance

16992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

977

Proof of Personhood SDK stock

Apr 8, 8:05 PMApr 9, 6:29 PM

21351

OptionProbability

NO

YES

416

404

If I die, will I be successfully cryopreserved?

Jul 24, 9:53 PMDec 31, 10:46 PM

60.34%chance

7337

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1233

811

Years of Lead 2: European Boogaloo ? Before 2030 (M500 subsidy)

Sep 30, 8:07 PMApr 1, 9:59 PM

50.67%chance

7290

OptionVotes

NO

YES

676

622

Will the S&P 500 offer a REAL CAGR greater than 8% from 2024 until 2050?

Dec 25, 10:46 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

48.47%chance

13216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1016

970

Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 5000 tpa on December 31, 2026?

Mar 30, 9:46 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

61.22%chance

319

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

4

Will TSMC CoWoS capacity exit binding-constraint status before 2026-12-31?

May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.8%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

98

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