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Prediction markets for Advanced Trade

Clarity Act will pass in September

Jun 4, 1:00 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

33.64%chance

42768

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1404

712

Will Bitcoin exceed $100,000 before December 31, 2026?

Feb 19, 7:54 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

21%chance

181386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

52

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips

May 12, 2:38 AMAug 12, 2:35 AM

10%chance

18618

OptionVotes

YES

NO

486

209

Will Bitcoin (BTC-USD) close above $65,000 on July 31, 2026?

Jun 12, 3:05 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

33.49%chance

17553

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

79

Proof of Personhood SDK stock

Apr 8, 8:05 PMApr 9, 6:29 PM

21351

OptionProbability

NO

YES

416

404

If I die, will I be successfully cryopreserved?

Jul 24, 9:53 PMDec 31, 10:46 PM

60.34%chance

7337

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1233

811

Years of Lead 2: European Boogaloo ? Before 2030 (M500 subsidy)

Sep 30, 8:07 PMApr 1, 9:59 PM

50.67%chance

7290

OptionVotes

NO

YES

676

622

Significant attack on post-quantum KEM Kyber published before Nov 2026

Nov 19, 9:38 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

9.11%chance

6255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

283

29

Will the S&P 500 offer a REAL CAGR greater than 8% from 2024 until 2050?

Dec 25, 10:46 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

48.47%chance

13216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1016

970

Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026?

Mar 30, 9:47 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

72%chance

360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

1

Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 500 tpa on December 31, 2026?

Mar 30, 9:46 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

79.28%chance

160

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

78

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