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Prediction markets for African American

Will the United States will have an Asian-American First Lady before they have an Asian-American president?

Sep 28, 8:42 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

40%chance

16783

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1405

531

Reparations by 2030?

Feb 10, 10:03 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.1%chance

28559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1345

938

Will Black Students Be Less Than 10% of the Ivy League Class of 2028?

Dec 2, 8:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

36.86%chance

12434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

78

Who will be the first black Speaker of the House?

Oct 24, 7:54 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7366

OptionProbability

Hakeem Jeffries

Other

Elon Musk

Byron Donalds

83

13

3

1

Will any Smithsonian museum be closed before EOY 2026?

Mar 28, 10:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.81%chance

8206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

Who will win the clash of civilizations.

Mar 10, 11:11 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

4130

OptionProbability

Anglos🇺🇸

None

China🇨🇳

Other

Subcontinentals🇮🇳

Orthodoxy🇷🇺

27

26

19

14

9

5

Will The National Museum of African American History and Culture still be in operation through EOY 2026?

Mar 28, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.47%chance

6116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

78

[Manifold demographics] What is your race (using US Census categories, feel free to leave comments for more)?

Mar 1, 3:46 AM

140

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