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Prediction markets for Agent Protocol

will trump be assasinated in US?

Mar 7, 1:13 AMDec 31, 1:12 AM

5%chance

292528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

Will any top-20 US or Canadian brokerage publicly endorse an open investing-agent standard by the end of 2027?

May 11, 4:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.15%chance

4408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1301

769

Will OpenAI de-deploy GPT-5.5 before 2027 for safety, security, cyber-risk, or other threat-related reasons?

May 4, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.39%chance

7364

OptionVotes

YES

NO

419

24

When will we be able to reversibly preserve isolated primate brains at least 50 yrs with function and memories intact?

Jan 9, 8:36 PMJun 2, 6:59 AM

4300

OptionProbability

2061 or beyond or never

2055-2060

2035-2040

2040-2045

2045-2050

2050-2055

2030-2035

2024-2030

34

12

10

10

10

10

9

5

Open "Nano Banana Pro"‑Level Model on a Gaming GPU by 2028?

Nov 23, 4:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.3%chance

485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

68

Will JRT (isotryptamine-LSD) enter the ITP by EOY2031?

Apr 21, 9:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

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