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Prediction markets for AI 100

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.08%chance

321171407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5206

5046

Does an AI disaster kill at least 100,000 people before 2029?

Jun 22, 4:40 AMJan 1, 10:43 PM

16.76%chance

293841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

859

Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Sep 13, 8:18 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

16.39%chance

343306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2270

445

Will there be a botched AI takeover/attempted shutdown evasion killing >100 people before 2050?

Apr 5, 12:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.29%chance

543046

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

796

Will Wizards of the Coast release a set where 100% of the art is AI-created before 2028?

Feb 27, 12:23 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

8.35%chance

292950

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1843

846

Will an AI have >100 million Twitter followers this decade?

Nov 26, 4:06 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.94%chance

192374

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

904

Does an AI disaster kill at least 100 people before 2040?

Jul 2, 10:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

80.41%chance

392163

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1305

894

By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated?

Feb 7, 5:03 PMDec 30, 9:29 PM

90.82%chance

531916

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1592

906

Before 2029, will a 90 minute or longer film generated by AI produce over $100,000 in revenue?

Sep 20, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55%chance

151816

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1106

905

Will at least three "Will AI wipe out humanity" markets targeting timelines under 100 years be above 50%?

Jun 4, 12:37 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

16.87%chance

211789

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1398

837

Will non-profit funding for AI safety reach 100 billion US dollars in a year before 2030?

Nov 14, 5:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.14%chance

5562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1274

785

Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

Sep 6, 5:04 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

14.65%chance

12410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

943

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