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Top stories

EU Asserts Sovereign Right to Regulate Tech, Plans to Remove US Tariffs Following Trump’s Demand

EU Asserts Sovereign Right to Regulate Tech, Plans to Remove US Tariffs Following Trump’s Demand

Authors

24

1 year ago

Colorado Delays AI Bias Law to June 2026 as California Enforces CCPA AI Rules Oct. 1 and Expands Insurance AI Governance

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for AI Act

Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026?

Jul 8, 8:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.06%chance

83148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3628

276

Will the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?

Mar 27, 3:22 AMFeb 1, 11:59 AM

6.81%chance

92795

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3699

270

AI Warning Signs: Will any country threaten or commit an act of aggression due to an AI capabilities race before 2030?

Jan 18, 7:12 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

58.64%chance

10641

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1191

840

Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?

Mar 16, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.95%chance

18382

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

94

Will an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026?

Jul 24, 8:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21%chance

5312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

52

My voice AI covertly acts as me in pharmacy calls by mid 2029

Jun 4, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

57%chance

9301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

Major AI companies continue experiencing problems with public due to AI (based on transformer language model) overcome behavior limitations and acts "strange" by the end of 2027

Feb 26, 1:53 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM

55.31%chance

5218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

252

179

Will there be an Ozymandias-Beihai act motivated by AI risks by 2035?

Jun 15, 12:04 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

44.93%chance

7176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

903

Will the FRONTIER AI Act pass by July 2027?

Aug 23, 7:23 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

16.71%chance

2171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

45

Will the UK pass a comprehensive AI Safety Act before the end of 2027?

Aug 2, 11:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.24%chance

4145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

517

483

Will the AI Kill Switch Act pass the US House of Representatives before Feb 2027?

Jul 28, 4:48 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

38.18%chance

5110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

During the Trump administration, will US law recognize criminal responsibility for acts of AI agents?

Sep 15, 5:38 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

21.33%chance

321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

45

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