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Top stories

EU Asserts Sovereign Right to Regulate Tech, Plans to Remove US Tariffs Following Trump’s Demand

EU Asserts Sovereign Right to Regulate Tech, Plans to Remove US Tariffs Following Trump’s Demand

Authors

24

1 year ago

Colorado Delays AI Bias Law to June 2026 as California Enforces CCPA AI Rules Oct. 1 and Expands Insurance AI Governance

Authors

3

11 months ago

Prediction markets for AI Act

Will the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?

Mar 27, 3:22 AMFeb 1, 11:59 AM

6.81%chance

92795

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3699

270

Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026?

Jul 8, 8:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.99%chance

61048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

654

AI Warning Signs: Will any country threaten or commit an act of aggression due to an AI capabilities race before 2030?

Jan 18, 7:12 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

58.64%chance

10641

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1191

840

Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?

Mar 16, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.18%chance

16366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

My voice AI covertly acts as me in pharmacy calls by mid 2029

Jun 4, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

57%chance

9301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

Major AI companies continue experiencing problems with public due to AI (based on transformer language model) overcome behavior limitations and acts "strange" by the end of 2027

Feb 26, 1:53 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM

55.31%chance

5218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

252

179

Will there be an Ozymandias-Beihai act motivated by AI risks by 2035?

Jun 15, 12:04 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

44.93%chance

7176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

903

Will the AI Kill Switch Act pass the US House of Representatives before Feb 2027?

Jul 28, 4:48 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

38.18%chance

5110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

Will an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026?

Jul 24, 8:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.45%chance

3103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

49

Will the UK pass a comprehensive AI Safety Act before the end of 2027?

Aug 2, 11:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.66%chance

489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

570

441

Will the EU publish final AI Act Article 73 incident guidance by October 1, 2026?

Aug 2, 10:22 AMOct 1, 11:00 PM

53.58%chance

566

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

72

Will an AI system legally act as a healthcare proxy anywhere in the US by 2032?

Nov 27, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60%chance

457

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

93

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