AI Agenda News

4c) Generalisation splitting, posted EoY 2026

8a) Emergent misalignment and optimisers, >50 upvotes

8c) Emergent misalignment and optimisers, posted EoY 2026

3b) A taxonomy of selection hacking, >3 comments

5b) Weak-to-strong is a bad idea, >3 comments

6b) DCI Philosophy and Theory of Change, >3 comments

1c) AI Safety Research Futarchy Follow-up, posted EoY 2026

2b) Prediction markets for good, >3 comments

3a) A taxonomy of selection hacking, >50 upvotes

1b) AI Safety Research Futarchy Follow-up, >3 comments

2c) Prediction markets for good, posted EoY 2026

7b) DCI Concrete projects, >3 comments

5a) Weak-to-strong is a bad idea, >50 upvotes

2a) Prediction markets for good, >50 upvotes

7a) DCI Concrete projects, >50 upvotes

4b) Generalisation splitting, >3 comments

1a) AI Safety Research Futarchy Follow-up, >50 upvotes

6a) DCI Philosophy and Theory of Change, >50 upvotes

5c) Weak-to-strong is a bad idea, posted EoY 2026

3c) A taxonomy of selection hacking, posted EoY 2026

7c) DCI Concrete projects, posted EoY 2026

6c) DCI Philosophy and Theory of Change, posted EoY 2026

4a) Generalisation splitting, >50 upvotes

NO

YES

NO

NO

Yes, Taiwan will be explicitly mentioned

8) At least one paper from the agenda gets published at a top conference or has a companion LessWrong post with >100 upvotes within 1 year

2) I reflectively endorse focussing on it 1 year later

7) At least one paper from the agenda gets published at a top conference or has a companion LessWrong post with >100 upvotes within 6 months

1) I reflectively endorse focussing on it 6 months later

3) I consider the work produced useful 6 months later

6) A prominent figure in AI safety publicly endorses the agenda or some research produced by it within 1 year

9) At least three papers from the agenda get published at top conferences or have companion LessWrong posts with >100 upvotes within 2 years

4) I consider the work produced useful 1 year later

YES

YES

YES

2027

2026

2028

2029

2030, later, or never

YES