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Prediction markets for AI Agent Solution

When will AI pass @jim's "agents benchmark"?

Feb 15, 5:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

3210943

OptionProbability

2026

2025

2027

2024

2028

Other

2029

2030

78

8

6

2

2

2

1

1

When will AIs be good at solving complex problems? (read description)

Mar 28, 9:19 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

138716

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2025

2024

74

59

45

0

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

75.68%chance

173564

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

926

Will Moltbook solve any open FrontierMath problems in 2026?

Feb 2, 11:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.8%chance

9480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

445

22

Will Tetsuwan be cross-compatible with pylabrobot and JACK JAY'S ROBOT by EOY2029?

May 21, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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