OptionProbability
By 1st Jan 2030
By 1st Jan 2029
By 1st Jan 2028
By 1st Jan 2027
By 1st Jan 2026
55
45
34
24
11
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1123
765
1208
932
1202
832
I lose my engineer privilege
I don't think working on AI will make alignment races worse
AI will not be a giant pain to work with
There will be lots of well-paid AI job opportunities for me
70
53
51
37
260
38
By Jan 1st 2030
By Jan 1st 2029
By Jan 1st 2028
By Jan 1st 2027
By Jan 1st 2026
80
67
60
22
66
46
44
16