AI Answers Engine News

Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]

Aug 3, 4:44 PMDec 30, 4:14 PM

6597859

OptionProbability

Dummy answer required due to Manifold's multiple-choice market design, will resolve N/A

@retr0id

@vi

@Bandors

@zhengkyl

@Eternal

@Cy

@8my41

@astroblob

@AlirezaAfshan

@AtharvPatil

@Quroe

@Celene

Pat Scott @Stralor

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Feb 17, 6:23 PMDec 31, 6:20 PM

11988

OptionProbability

Create new forms of gambling addiction and financial harm

Provide voting public with better information on candidates chances in elections

Lead to manipulation and misinformation through coordinated betting

Increase polarization by incentivizing extreme predictions

Provide public with better information about impact of policies and new legislation

Bring Jeffrey epstein back to life

Make me the President of USA

Will an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?

Aug 3, 6:57 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

32.16%chance

9722

OptionVotes

YES

1452

689

[Carlini questions] Best AI systems will out-perform PhDs and top experts in most problem-solving tasks

Mar 24, 2:24 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6623

OptionProbability

By 1st Jan 2030

By 1st Jan 2029

By 1st Jan 2028

By 1st Jan 2027

By 1st Jan 2026

Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?

Mar 24, 9:30 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM

59.37%chance

15591

OptionVotes

YES

1123

765

Will the position of AI Humanoid Robots Supervisor exist and be hot by 2028?

Jan 31, 10:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

16.84%chance

16538

OptionVotes

YES

1075

957

Will AI be a great alternative career path for me as a coder if AI learns to code?

Dec 27, 2:59 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

17383

OptionProbability

I lose my engineer privilege

I don't think working on AI will make alignment races worse

AI will not be a giant pain to work with

There will be lots of well-paid AI job opportunities for me

Will Senate Bill S7263 Pass?

Mar 6, 2:12 PMDec 31, 3:11 PM

12%chance

4379

OptionVotes

YES

271

Prediction markets advocated as system architecture in 2026?

Jan 18, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.8%chance

10244

OptionVotes

YES

273

When Ajapnyak metro station of Yerevan will be constructed?

Feb 26, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1180

OptionProbability

2031 or later

2028-2030

before 2028

[Carlini questions] Majority of consumer AI applications will operate autonomously on multi-step tasks by year

Mar 24, 2:19 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

570

OptionProbability

By 1st Jan 2030

By 1st Jan 2029

By 1st Jan 2028

By 1st Jan 2027

By 1st Jan 2026

Prediction markets advocated as system architecture in 2027?

Feb 19, 9:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.55%chance

322

OptionVotes

YES

101

AI Answers Engine News

Prediction markets for AI Answers Engine

Prediction markets for AI Answers Engine

Prediction markets for AI Answers Engine

Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Will an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?

[Carlini questions] Best AI systems will out-perform PhDs and top experts in most problem-solving tasks

Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?

Will the position of AI Humanoid Robots Supervisor exist and be hot by 2028?

Will AI be a great alternative career path for me as a coder if AI learns to code?

Will Senate Bill S7263 Pass?

Prediction markets advocated as system architecture in 2026?

When Ajapnyak metro station of Yerevan will be constructed?

[Carlini questions] Majority of consumer AI applications will operate autonomously on multi-step tasks by year

Prediction markets advocated as system architecture in 2027?

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