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AI Artifacts News
Prediction markets for AI Artifacts
Prediction markets for AI Artifacts
Will Grok make a "really good movie" in 2027?
Oct 10, 2:58 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.8%
chance
36
5077
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3049
331
SOTA AI at EOY 2026 a reasoning model?
Jul 11, 1:16 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
94.31%
chance
6
317
Option
Votes
NO
YES
407
25
Will Crypton Future Media announce a singing synth voicebank for software made by another company by the end of 2026?
Jan 4, 6:35 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
75.58%
chance
5
88
Option
Votes
NO
YES
170
80
How will competing views of AI identity (instance, weights, persona) be relatively favored by researchers in 2030?
Mar 23, 9:28 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
1
60
Option
Probability
Weights
Instance
Persona
37
32
32
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