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Prediction markets for AI Character Generator

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.44%chance

15835470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1721

1121

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?

Feb 27, 12:30 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

76.17%chance

14426832

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3357

3047

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2025?

Feb 27, 12:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.25%chance

14113836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4706

1229

When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users?

Nov 20, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2612744

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

53

48

43

41

34

18

Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?

Oct 4, 9:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.51%chance

7612381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1741

639

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?

Feb 27, 12:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.77%chance

7912282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1290

1121

Will the widespread blacklisting of AI art be sustained to 2028?

Jun 15, 5:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.1%chance

443342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1599

223

Will you be able to use AI tools to create believable adult movies by the end of 2026?

Jan 23, 9:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.44%chance

531613

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1214

837

A Netflix live-action show will be hosted or have a main character that is AI Generated, with no actor involved, before the end of 2025

Dec 27, 3:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.01%chance

191550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2092

834

Which SciFi/Fantasy books will be adapted into movies or TV series by the end of the 2020s?

Jan 6, 3:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

191157

OptionProbability

Project Hail Mary

Hyperion

Old Man's War

Children of Blood and Bone

The Mote in God's Eye

The Amulet of Samarkand

A Fire Upon the Deep

The Lies of Locke Lamora

Permutation City

Revelation Space

The Final Empire

The Blade Itself

Assassin's Apprentice

The Way of Kings

Ancillary Justice

The Name of the Wind

Use of Weapons

Consider Phlebas

A Deepness in the Sky

Stranger in a Strange Land

Shards of Honor

The Left Hand of Darkness

The Forever War

Blindsight

Consider Phlebas

The Shadow of the Torturer

The Diamond Age

Kushiel's Dart

Rant: The Oral Biography of Buster Casey

We Are Legion

The Metamorphosis of Prime Intellect

Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality

99

74

62

55

50

50

46

46

44

43

41

41

41

41

39

36

30

30

30

30

28

27

25

25

22

20

16

15

13

13

6

4

Midjourney lawsuit damages above how much?

Jun 11, 6:10 PMDec 31, 5:58 PM

9202

Will Nintendo use LLM to generate lines for Luigi or Waluigi in any video game before 2033?

Mar 14, 4:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24%chance

9200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

307

100

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