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Prediction markets for AI Character Generator

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

17445547

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1585

1297

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?

Feb 27, 12:30 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

50%chance

15028221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4104

1415

When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users?

Nov 20, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3818973

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

54

52

44

35

17

0

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?

Feb 27, 12:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.17%chance

8813634

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2113

469

Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?

Oct 4, 9:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.98%chance

8212639

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1363

776

Will Grok make a "really good movie" in 2027?

Oct 10, 2:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.58%chance

395457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3087

327

Will the widespread blacklisting of AI art be sustained to 2028?

Jun 15, 5:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

83.27%chance

493685

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1925

127

Will you be able to use AI tools to create believable adult movies by the end of 2026?

Jan 23, 9:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.22%chance

541632

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1174

856

Will Sanji have a nose bleed over ZaZa the Rain God/Nightmare?

May 14, 1:30 PMNov 15, 2:30 PM

31.8%chance

141248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1464

683

When will LLMs be better at Paradox grand strategy games than the in-game AI for NPCs?

Mar 23, 3:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61105

OptionProbability

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032+

2027

2026

2025

28

13

13

13

13

10

8

2

Which month will CONTROL: Resonant release in?

Mar 15, 7:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6794

OptionProbability

September

May

June

July

August

October

Other

April

94

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

Will there be a decent-budget biopic about Richard Stallman within ten years of his death?

Sep 29, 12:47 PMOct 7, 3:59 AM

24.88%chance

8153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

138

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