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Prediction markets for AI Companion

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

82.45%chance

495196105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4494

1223

Grok's male AI companion more popular than its female companion?

Jul 17, 10:41 PMDec 31, 11:34 PM

22.67%chance

877812

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1847

541

In 2028, will at least 35m Americans be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Mar 17, 8:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8%chance

193321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1488

920

In 2028, will at least 3.5m Americans be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Mar 17, 8:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.38%chance

243227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1604

717

In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?

Mar 28, 8:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

152190

OptionProbability

Other

2024

2041

2025

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2026

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

22

12

10

7

5

5

5

5

5

4

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

Will a right to digital privacy be established in the USA saying your AI cannot be used against you in a court of law?

May 6, 11:40 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

10%chance

241653

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1530

1005

If AI wipes out humanity by 2030, will Manifold Markets be operational?

Jun 22, 3:16 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

53.37%chance

171427

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

858

Will there be an AI Companion app (friend, girlfriend, partner etc.) with 500 Million users before 2035? 🤖❤🧍‍♂️🤝💻

Apr 13, 4:57 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

67.01%chance

341240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

944

Which frontier model AI company will release an AI waifu in 2025?

Jul 15, 9:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12470

OptionProbability

Meta

OpenAI

Google

Deepseek

Anthropic

22

5

5

5

4

Significant AI companion addiction by 2027?

May 18, 5:17 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

90.86%chance

24415

OptionVotes

NO

YES

315

32

AI Companion Gender Gap: Men vs Women Romantic Preference by 2030

Jul 20, 5:14 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

46.31%chance

10133

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

93

SillyTavern Forks to create AI companion application by 2025

Jun 7, 7:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.99%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

71

69

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