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Prediction markets for AI Data Analyst

Which will be the lowest range Palantir stock price will reach in the next 2 years?

Feb 4, 2:47 PMFeb 4, 9:59 PM

98033

OptionProbability

$60-80-

$40-60-

$20-40-

Below $20

$80-100-

$100 or higher

30

30

21

15

3

1

Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by Q2 2026?

May 29, 8:55 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

1%chance

212895

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1657

19

When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

Mar 12, 7:44 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

101908

OptionProbability

Before January 2027

Before October 2026

Before July 2026

Before April 2026

Before May 2026

Before June 2026

21

10

1

0

0

0

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.35%chance

211414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

789

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 USD at any point before December 31, 2026?

Mar 18, 3:47 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11%chance

161381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

35

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses sell at least 10 million units by December 31, 2026?

Dec 7, 1:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.46%chance

9479

OptionVotes

NO

YES

233

43

Will any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?

May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.11%chance

3111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

73

Will combined 2026 AI capex from {AWS, Azure, GCP, Meta, Oracle} exceed $300B?

May 4, 8:22 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

82.65%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

63

Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?

May 6, 10:13 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

60.53%chance

371

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

61

Will any sovereign-AI deal ≥$10B be announced before 2026-12-31?

May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.3%chance

11

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

98

Number of H100 equivalent chips (by Flops) Huawei will make in year 2026

May 2, 4:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 100,000

100,000 - 499,999

500,000 - 999,999

1,000,000 - 2,499,999

2,500,000 - 4,999,999

5,000,000 - 9,999,999

10,000,000+

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

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