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Lovart AI Launches Publicly on July 23, Serving 800,000 Users with Tesla Ad Example
Authors
11
10 days ago
Prediction markets for AI Design Agent
Prediction markets for AI Design Agent
7. Major progress will be made on building AI systems that can themselves autonomously build better AI systems.
Dec 27, 8:18 AM
Jan 3, 10:59 PM
73.96%
chance
20
3037
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1685
593
2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today
Mar 11, 12:04 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
22.16%
chance
20
2757
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1470
801
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
82.06%
chance
37
2697
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1928
630
OpenAI Agent continue refusing to do captchas by mid-2026?
Jul 18, 5:29 PM
Jul 18, 5:26 PM
46.41%
chance
21
2381
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1707
1276
Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?
Oct 8, 12:49 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
13.82%
chance
33
1750
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2121
681
ChatGPT's tariff formula the first ASI attack?
Apr 6, 10:28 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
3.24%
chance
13
1140
Option
Votes
YES
NO
547
18
Top average (agent and edit) LiveSWEBench score by EOY2025?
Apr 1, 8:06 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
3
802
Will SotA on PaperBench (Code-Dev) surpass 75% in 2025?
Apr 7, 1:59 PM
Jan 15, 11:59 PM
40%
chance
9
755
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5735
4626
Will computer-using AI agents play Balatro better than me by eoy 2025?
Oct 29, 2:12 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
17.77%
chance
15
391
Option
Votes
YES
NO
215
46
Global media opinion of Obama will improve from EOY 2023 to mid year 2027, according to OpenAI's best LLM
Dec 18, 9:57 PM
Jul 1, 5:59 AM
49.85%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
NO
YES
50
50
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