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Prediction markets for AI Designer

By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?

Dec 2, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.78%chance

19278703

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3186

1087

Is Rosie the dog's AI-designed mRNA cancer vaccine legitimate?

Mar 14, 8:19 PMDec 31, 8:12 PM

35.9%chance

18420415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1336

748

Will OpenAI design and manufacture a custom AI chip by 2030?

Mar 2, 11:35 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

93.15%chance

385548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3706

406

By 2030, will an AI be officially designated as the patent holder for an invention?

May 19, 6:49 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

21.9%chance

561395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

955

AI helps design practical real life "Ansible" device(faster than light communication) before 2050

Jun 8, 3:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.19%chance

8894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

502

100

Will an AI system design a pathogen which leads WHO to declare an emergency of some sort by the end of the July, 2030?

Jul 31, 7:50 AMJul 31, 1:29 AM

20.91%chance

27415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

997

985

By 2030, will an architectural firm design and construct a building based entirely on specifications generated by AI?

May 19, 3:37 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

62.04%chance

19362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

954

AI to assist in designing "Enlightment guides" by 2100.

Jun 8, 4:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80%chance

5187

OptionVotes

NO

YES

180

105

AI custom clothes design and tailoring service before 2033

Apr 19, 11:27 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

45.32%chance

6144

OptionVotes

NO

YES

148

143

Is Rosie the dog's AI-designed mRNA cancer vaccine legitimate?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 8:12 PM

34.72%chance

257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

75

Will an AI-designed drug candidate report positive Phase 3 results before the end of 2027?

Oct 30, 4:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

AI to help design validation systems based on personal blockchains by 2050

Jun 8, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.23%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

75

33

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