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OptionProbability
Space Exploration
Technology
Medical/Healthcare
Fundamental research
Geopolitics
Environment and sustainability
Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid
Society
Art and culture
Human Rights
Economy
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OptionProbability
I'm serious about my other predictions.
Humanity should pivot from (converting oil into artificial intelligence capabilities) to (converting mechanistically interpretable human cognitive labor into decentralized constitutional parameters for guiding collective intelligence).
It would be helpful if every important thought leader had a prediction similar to this to formalize their positions on complicated issues.
Aligning AI is a job everyone should have the right to earn a living by doing.
I am trying to pay you to help me map my beliefs.
I'm trying to get people to help me write the constitution of truth for AI.
This is Krantz data.
Krantz data is money.
I believe everybody doing this is the solution to alignment.
We could turn X into a machine that allows us to print our own crypto by doing philosophy and arguing about literally everything.
I am challenging all the analytic philosophers on Manifold to an argument about whatever topic they choose.
The main thing we need to do to solve alignment and game theoretic peace is to get all the important philosophers in the world to start talking in analytic English instead of continental English, so we can map our language properly.
Wiggenstien was right the first time and everyone's personal truth is compatible.
Financial and physical oppression and war are side effects of not being able to communicate effectively.
If we simply allowed every real person to securely evaluate every interpretable fact and treated that data as money, all other problems could be solved instrumentally using that process.
If the X platform was used primarily as a decentralized mechanism for minting Krantz data, kids could earn a retirement before the age of 23 by getting a sovereign education independently.
If Americans had the right to express their support (or opposition) for each proposition of the constitution (both securely and publicly in a way that can be operated on), we wouldn't need politicians.
If all humans had the right to vote on the constitution that controls AI, AI would be decentrally controlled by a market of opinions.
If humans could print their own money by voting on propositions that control AI, education would be economically accelerated several orders of magnitude.
The solution to aligning ASI is really simple.
Krantz has the most important message to give to society. https://manifold.markets/Krantz/which-person-had-the-most-important?r=S3JhbnR6
Krantz is the abstract composition of all the data that would be contained in a collection of predictions like this from every thought leader.
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