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Top stories

Artificio Launches AI Generative Forms for Instant Complex Workflows

Artificio Launches AI Generative Forms for Instant Complex Workflows

Authors

10

1 year ago

Prediction markets for AI Generative Forms

Will the US obtain the Iranian uranium?

Apr 1, 9:15 PMDec 31, 10:14 PM

8.39%chance

547571

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3793

126

Will there be a massive internet outage before 2028?

Oct 21, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.53%chance

356596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11161

8960

Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?

Nov 10, 4:57 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

25.88%chance

1033852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1878

1440

Before 2100, will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals?

Aug 8, 5:34 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.31%chance

61585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5574

3482

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

May 25, 12:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.95%chance

91300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3864

3220

Who will have the most revenue in the USA before Jan 1st 2030

Sep 23, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71182

OptionProbability

Uber

Tesla Cybercab

Waymo

Lyft

Other

57

22

8

6

6

Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?

Aug 8, 5:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

66.28%chance

8844

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4652

3621

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

Aug 8, 5:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.68%chance

4780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4261

3904

Will an AI be able to generate a high-quality PhD thesis to a single prompt in any formal scientific field by EOY 2027?

Oct 12, 5:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66%chance

12519

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

72

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.59%chance

6415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4357

3816

Will The Onion adjust their AI policy to allow some forms of generative AI by the end of 2030?

Aug 6, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.19%chance

7131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Aug 8, 5:43 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

68.45%chance

365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4047

3968

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