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Prediction markets for AI Image

Which company has best Text-to-Image AI model end of 2025? (Artificial Analysis Leaderboard)

Dec 18, 7:21 AMDec 31, 8:09 PM

183271

OptionProbability

Google

OpenAI

ByteDance

Other

Black Forest Labs (FLUX)

Midjourney

HiDream

Ideogram

Stability.ai

Playground AI

Amazon

DeepSeek

Blueberry

34

21

13

8

4

4

4

2

2

2

2

2

1

Will AI replace radiologists as the main reporter of clinical images in the USA (without human oversight) before 2050?

Mar 5, 11:37 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

89.81%chance

292580

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2104

768

Which AI-generated images will Trump or official US accounts share during his second term?

May 7, 9:21 AMDec 20, 11:59 AM

261933

OptionProbability

Trump as Superman

Trump as an astronaut

Trump as a cowboy

Trump as a pilot

Trump as a scientist

Trump as a wizard.

Trump as a Spartan

Trump as Dalai Lama.

Trump as a lion.

Trump as the God-Emperor of Mankind.

100

71

47

45

40

26

26

13

11

6

Will there be an open source, uncensored AI image generator with the same or greater quality as DALLE-3 by end of 2025?

Sep 27, 4:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

90.02%chance

16903

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1429

910

Will an AI agent be able to draw a mid-2024-diffusion-model-quality image in a standard drawing program by 2027?

Sep 2, 6:22 PMJan 1, 6:59 PM

59.87%chance

10781

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1224

822

Will Scott Alexander state that Vitor has paid him for winning their AI image bet this year?

Jul 9, 1:56 AMJan 1, 2:49 AM

39.76%chance

14480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

81

Will AI finally generate an acceptable image of "Peter Thiel making out with, cuddling with, and incubating an egg together with a gay penguin" by 2025?

Jan 5, 4:48 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

84.79%chance

13267

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1181

938

Will AI image=> video be pwrfl enough to make a person in an image rotate/walk/change clothes by EOY 2025?

Oct 19, 9:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.66%chance

4110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

48

Will Google add AI image generation as an option to Google Images by the end of 2025?

Jun 30, 6:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.33%chance

475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1055

956

Will inference-time scaling improve the generation of images with correct geometric shapes? (in generative AI)

Dec 30, 2:10 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

64.65%chance

345

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

74

By 2028, AI will be able to classify images of unseen objects into groups, having trained on a similar distinct dataset?

Jan 5, 10:48 AMJan 12, 7:41 AM

74.18%chance

341

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

47

Benchmark Gap #7: Once 10% of the medical Grand Challenges are "solved", how many months will it be before AI are in common use in hospitals for analyzing medical images with minimal human oversight?

Feb 8, 10:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.62%chance

225

OptionProbability

NO

YES

295

276

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