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Prediction markets for AI Image

Will AI replace radiologists as the main reporter of clinical images in the USA (without human oversight) before 2050?

Mar 5, 11:37 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

87%chance

302632

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1706

820

Which AI-generated images will Trump or official US accounts share during his second term?

May 7, 9:21 AMDec 20, 11:59 AM

272044

OptionProbability

Trump as Superman

Trump as an astronaut

Trump as a cowboy

Trump as a pilot

Trump as a wizard.

Trump as a Spartan

Trump as a scientist

Trump as Dalai Lama.

Trump as a lion.

Trump as the God-Emperor of Mankind.

100

73

56

45

31

26

25

13

11

6

Will an AI agent be able to draw a mid-2024-diffusion-model-quality image in a standard drawing program by 2027?

Sep 2, 6:22 PMJan 1, 6:59 PM

51.46%chance

12934

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

975

Will Youtube implement AI video / image detection and indicate it to viewers by the end of 2027?

May 4, 2:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

90.66%chance

10353

OptionVotes

NO

YES

312

32

Before 2028, dating app users will commonly have AI-generated younger/hotter images of themselves on their profiles

Apr 13, 9:05 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

92.96%chance

3301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

169

36

As a rough guess what % of images that we see in a day will be AI in Jan 2029?

Feb 29, 3:25 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.08%chance

6136

OptionVotes

YES

NO

184

176

Will Google add AI image generation as an option to Google Images by the end of 2026?

Sep 25, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.06%chance

8118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

639

571

AI generates better alt text for 90% of test images by June 30, 2026?

Mar 30, 9:39 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

56.17%chance

9115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

88

Will inference-time scaling improve the generation of images with correct geometric shapes? (in generative AI)

Dec 30, 2:10 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

73.43%chance

576

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

60

By 2030, one-shot learning allows AI to recognize new objects in diverse settings from a single image?

Jan 5, 10:51 AMDec 31, 8:00 AM

73.61%chance

165

OptionVotes

NO

YES

84

30

By 2028, AI will be able to classify images of unseen objects into groups, having trained on a similar distinct dataset?

Jan 5, 10:48 AMJan 12, 7:41 AM

74.18%chance

341

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

47

Twitter + Ai Image Generation + Bitmoji integration by end 2027

Nov 1, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.25%chance

17

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

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