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Prediction markets for AI Pioneers

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

9.95%chance

812504817

OptionVotes

YES

NO

57878

10544

Which AI pioneer is funniest?

Sep 19, 12:59 PM

50

Which of these AI pioneers has the best cogsec?

Sep 19, 7:00 PM

40

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