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AI Risk Management Framework News
Prediction markets for AI Risk Management Framework
Prediction markets for AI Risk Management Framework
Will AI be directly responsible for causing an accident that results in 500 deaths by 2028?
Dec 18, 10:31 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
16.62%
chance
9
137
Option
Votes
YES
NO
224
45
US and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?
May 18, 5:48 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
20.88%
chance
5
115
Option
Votes
YES
NO
195
51
Any frontier AI company states AI fully managed >$1M training run by '27?
Apr 14, 6:53 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
30.7%
chance
2
21
Option
Votes
NO
YES
101
98
US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?
Apr 14, 6:52 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
25%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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