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AI Risk Management Framework News
Prediction markets for AI Risk Management Framework
Prediction markets for AI Risk Management Framework
US and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?
May 18, 5:48 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
34.91%
chance
8
271
Option
Votes
YES
NO
137
73
Will the FRONTIER AI Act pass by July 2027?
Aug 23, 7:23 PM
Jun 30, 11:59 PM
16.71%
chance
2
171
Option
Votes
YES
NO
223
45
Will AI be directly responsible for causing an accident that results in 500 deaths by 2028?
Dec 18, 10:31 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
14.39%
chance
9
157
Option
Votes
YES
NO
244
41
Any frontier AI company states AI fully managed >$1M training run by '27?
Apr 14, 6:53 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
30.7%
chance
2
21
Option
Votes
NO
YES
101
98
US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?
Apr 14, 6:52 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
25%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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