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Prediction markets for Ai Sales

OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Nov 7, 7:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.88%chance

233352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3420

292

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

680

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.91%chance

151810

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2581

389

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.08%chance

241733

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1085

921

SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.

Oct 9, 11:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.57%chance

211369

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1752

571

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.21%chance

14835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

943

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

797

[Carlini questions] Number of AI 'authored' high-quality fiction books on New York Times best seller list by 2030

Mar 24, 2:05 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6292

OptionProbability

0

1 - 5

Above 500

6 - 10

11 - 25

26 - 50

51 - 100

101 - 500

63

18

4

3

3

3

3

3

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

52.33%chance

6247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

1009

Which five artists will be at the top of the list for most expensive paintings ever sold on Jan 1, 2030?

Mar 26, 2:29 PMJan 1, 2:17 PM

2110

OptionProbability

Leonardo da Vinci

Willem de Kooning

Paul Cézanne

Paul Gauguin

Jackson Pollock

Other

Gustav Klimt

Mark Rothko

Rembrandt

Pablo Picasso

Vincent van Gogh

Amedeo Modigliani

Jean-Michel Basquiat

Francis Bacon

Andy Warhol

66

50

50

50

50

50

41

41

34

34

34

34

34

34

34

Will BMW Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 0.6

0.6 - 0.7

0.7 - 0.8

0.80 - 0.9

0.90 - 1.0

Above 1.0

17

17

17

17

17

17

Go try and get our AI sales copilot to hallucinate at magicform.ai

Jul 22, 2:10 AMJul 22, 6:59 AM

00

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