AI Scientist News
Prediction markets for AI Scientist
OptionVotes
1212
262
Is Rosie the dog's AI-designed mRNA cancer vaccine legitimate?
Mar 14, 8:19 PMDec 31, 8:12 PM
56.46%chance
18119332
OptionVotes
1139
878
Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?
Jun 12, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
7.64%chance
226982
OptionVotes
3477
288
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
75.68%chance
173564
OptionVotes
1159
926
will 2026 bring a offical breakthrough in the Kurt Cobain death investigation?
Feb 11, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.5%chance
132453
OptionVotes
351
28
2. Details of SSI’s research and technology will leak. The big labs will make meaningful adjustments [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:21 AMDec 29, 11:20 AM
29%chance
171855
OptionVotes
1567
640
Will multiple credible sources claim GPT-5 is sentient?
May 15, 7:20 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
11.19%chance
211719
OptionVotes
1987
795
OptionVotes
1449
832
Will Google stick to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military by EOY 2026?
Feb 27, 11:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.33%chance
20862
OptionVotes
218
46
If most of the economy becomes automated without us all dying, will Eliezer Yudkowsky admit that he was wrong?
May 15, 12:35 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
45.79%chance
22396
OptionVotes
109
92
Did Alan Turing believe there was a non-negligible risk that AI would exterminate or enslave humanity?
Apr 7, 7:33 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
59.2%chance
15282
OptionVotes
1087
929
OptionVotes
104
96