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Prediction markets for AI Video

Will AI porn videos be better than real porn by the end of 2026?

Mar 28, 7:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.68%chance

19755880

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1291

764

By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?

Sep 30, 7:42 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

43.82%chance

11545460

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1181

636

Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2025?

Dec 26, 4:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.1%chance

16927440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2861

428

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2050?

Sep 27, 4:48 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

64.21%chance

7122484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

960

When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users?

Nov 20, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2612744

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

53

48

43

41

34

18

When will an AI be able to speedrun a popular video game faster than the human WR?

May 27, 5:02 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

1011851

OptionProbability

2026

2030 or later

2027

2025

2028

2029

2024

20

20

17

15

13

13

1

Will an AI-fabricated police brutality video receive major news coverage by end of 2025?

Jun 19, 9:59 PMJan 5, 7:59 AM

36.53%chance

549449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1742

637

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2035?

Sep 27, 4:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.76%chance

519010

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1555

395

By 2029, will AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 Indie Games?

Oct 2, 1:12 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

73.98%chance

325104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1770

441

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

Jan 5, 12:58 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM

70.49%chance

285036

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1478

697

Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?

Dec 26, 6:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.58%chance

514899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1325

518

Will an AI be able to play a type of video game that it wasn't trained on before 2026?

Nov 13, 6:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.59%chance

574197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

238

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