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Prediction markets for AI Video Creator

Will photo/video "AI detection" meaningfully exist in December 2028?

Dec 1, 2:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.88%chance

333475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1738

576

Which YouTube channels will post an AI Safety/Alignment video in 2026

Jan 3, 1:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11387

OptionProbability

Veritasium

Kurzgesagt

Wendover Productions

Vsauce

SmarterEveryDay

3Blue1Brown

Mark Rober

83

79

64

41

34

28

9

Will Ludwig be a guest on Jet Lag: The Game by 2028?

Mar 25, 6:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.96%chance

9121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Will I be the pirate king

Jun 11, 12:16 PMJun 11, 12:15 PM

26.97%chance

4113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

15

Will a top-20 Super Bowl advertiser air a primarily AI-generated commercial during Super Bowl LXI (Feb 2027)?

Apr 17, 9:34 PMMar 5, 12:00 PM

35.18%chance

670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

215

170

Will Touhou creator Ota Junya (ZUN) attend a convention in the United States before 2030?

Aug 27, 8:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

can you just balenciaga it? Before 2028

Aug 1, 4:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.49%chance

336

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

Will Lionsgate buy A24 just like how Paramount would buy Warner Bros?

Sep 21, 9:30 PMSep 21, 9:29 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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