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Prediction markets for AI Video Generators

By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?

Sep 30, 7:42 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

69.7%chance

167102571

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1627

297

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2050?

Sep 27, 4:48 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65%chance

7328392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

982

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2045?

Sep 27, 4:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60%chance

5725914

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1073

939

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2040?

Sep 27, 4:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.84%chance

6922913

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1198

834

By 2029, will AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 Indie Games?

Oct 2, 1:12 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

71.53%chance

5015948

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1682

474

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2030?

Sep 27, 4:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.8%chance

5110769

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1346

236

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2035?

Sep 27, 4:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.03%chance

5610406

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1359

520

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

Jan 5, 12:58 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM

30.11%chance

446932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1560

597

Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?

Dec 26, 6:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.43%chance

575230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1571

354

In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?

Sep 26, 1:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.9%chance

451869

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1147

717

Will it be revealed that someone in the US was falsely convicted of a crime due to an AI generated video by EOY 2028?

Feb 20, 10:37 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

35.62%chance

361093

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

934

Will an AI generated video have significant impact on US politics before 2029?

Jan 19, 1:54 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

75.13%chance

15350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

955

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