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Prediction markets for AI Video Generators

By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?

Sep 30, 7:42 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

86.58%chance

177112186

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2208

144

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2050?

Sep 27, 4:48 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65%chance

7528472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

982

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2045?

Sep 27, 4:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

63.02%chance

6026506

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

889

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2040?

Sep 27, 4:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

63.19%chance

7223085

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1287

778

By 2029, will AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 Indie Games?

Oct 2, 1:12 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

71.53%chance

5015948

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1682

474

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2030?

Sep 27, 4:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.06%chance

5310858

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1402

198

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2035?

Sep 27, 4:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

61.38%chance

5710729

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1461

448

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

Jan 5, 12:58 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM

20.97%chance

467509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1959

462

Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?

Dec 26, 6:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.51%chance

626005

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2198

167

In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?

Sep 26, 1:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.9%chance

451869

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1147

717

Will it be revealed that someone in the US was falsely convicted of a crime due to an AI generated video by EOY 2028?

Feb 20, 10:37 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

34%chance

381163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

908

Will an AI generated video have significant impact on US politics before 2029?

Jan 19, 1:54 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

75.13%chance

15350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

955

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