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Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

Jun 12, 1:39 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

28086561

OptionProbability

Therapies to reverse cardiovascular diseases

Gene Editing Therapies

Autonomous Drone Swarms Dominating Land and Air Combat

Personalized medicine based on patient's genetic profile

Regenerative Medicine

Brain-Computer Interfaces

Synthetic Meat Indistinguishable from Real Meat

Heat pumps and solar panels for heating homes

Humanoid Robots in Service/Logistics Roles

Cancer Vaccine Targeting Multiple Types of Cancer

Male pattern baldness treatment that consistently turns Nowood 7 to Norwood 1 (no surgery/grafts)

Solar panels with 40% efficiency

Bioprinting

Therapies to reverse neurodegenerative diseases

Fully Autonomous Cargo Ships

a molecule derived using Alphafold (current or successor models) achieves over $1B of commercial retail sales

Artificial Photosynthesis (10% efficiency in converting sunlight to chemical energy)

viable cloned organs using your own DNA as base (i.e. no autoimmune organ rejection)

Human-level AGI

Solid-state EV batteries ≥ 500 Wh/kg in mass-produced cars

Space-Based Manufacturing

Desalination with Energy Consumption Below 1.5 kWh/m³

Seafloor Mining Robots

Transoceanic fully autonomous container crossing without onboard crew

Non-invasive colon cancer screening that is equally or more effective than a Colonoscopy

Quantum Computing Applications

Graphene semiconductor electronics

ASI

Self-Healing Materials for Infrastructure

Nanorobots for Precision Drug Delivery

Lunar Bases

Moon base

Advanced Exoskeletons for Everyday Use

More than half of all commercial ships built between 2030-2050 have the option to supplement their power burn with wind power (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9R6ln7pr5QU)

Major resurgence of lighter than air craft for shipping or consumer travel/leisure

Britain finishes HS2

Direct Cognitive Collaboration

Photonic computing

A Specific ‘Longevity Drug’ or Defined Drug Combination that Extends Average Human Healthspan by at Least 10 Years

Smart Contact Lenses with AR Capabilities

Commercial asteroid mining

Biohybrid Robots with Living Muscle Tissue

Datacenters in space

Hypersonic commercial passenger travel

Sand Batteries (Polar Night Energy) to store energy for months.

Joywire

Commercial fusion power

Room-Temperature Atmospheric-Pressure Superconductors

Artificial Wombs for Human Gestation (from conception to birth)

Fast travel across the globe

AI that produces AAA-level video games via end-user prompts

Medication that adds 30 lbs+ muscle with no major negative health effects

Nuclear powered cargo ships

City-scale fully automated underground logistics networks

Nuclear microreactors that can be used anywhere

Mars Base

Nuclear Thermal Rockets

Point-to-Point Suborbital Spaceflight (Regularly Scheduled Passenger Transport)

Cryonics with Successful Revival

Food with bioengineered saturated fat that doesn't raise cholesterol

Commercial satellite to ground power transmission

Self-Replicating Fully-Automated Factories

Self-Actuating Metamaterials for Adaptive Structures in Buildings and Infrastructure

Human Mind Uploading

Changing the height of an adult at will

Universal Flu Vaccine (effictive against all current and future strains)

Orbital Habitats

Fusion Drives

Cell replacement therapy using synthetic cells

Engineered Symbiotic Microorganism Implants for Human Physiological Augmentation

Space-to-Earth power stations

Space probes travelling at >=1% speed of light

Human sex change at chromosome level

Changing a person's race at will

Von Neumann Probe

A skyhook space structure in LEO

Human Missions to Mars with Round-Trip Travel Time Under 6 Months

Autonomous Flying Cars in Cities

Room-Temperature Superconducting Transmission Lines in Urban Power Grids

Vacuum Airships

Time travel to the future

Commercial cold fusion

Space Elevator

Quantum Sensors Enabling Detection of Cancer Years Before Symptoms

Antimatter bombs

Temporal Cloaking Device (Hiding Events in Time)

Reality Anchoring Device (Stabilizing Subjective Reality)

1% Dyson sphere coverage

Faster then Light Propulsion

Time travel to the past

Will a vacuum lift technology be discovered or invented before 2040?

Jun 28, 12:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.25%chance

281570

OptionVotes

YES

1526

837

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2050?

Jun 21, 2:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

45.88%chance

10312

OptionVotes

YES

205

172

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2035?

Jun 21, 2:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.84%chance

8183

OptionVotes

YES

281

124

Will more than 100 new large lighter than air airships enter service before 2050?

Jun 21, 10:25 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.9%chance

9154

OptionVotes

YES

220

201

Will an airship capable of lifting 100,000+ kg exist in 2035?

Jan 30, 7:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.27%chance

9131

OptionVotes

YES

210

173

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2040?

Jun 21, 2:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29%chance

591

OptionVotes

YES

178

101

Will more than 50 new large lighter than air airships enter service before 2030?

Jun 21, 10:24 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.79%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

140

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2045?

Jun 21, 2:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.91%chance

228

OptionVotes

YES

Will more than 100 new passenger lighter than air airships enter service before 2050?

Jun 21, 11:14 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38%chance

323

OptionVotes

YES

105

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Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

Will a vacuum lift technology be discovered or invented before 2040?

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2050?

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2035?

Will more than 100 new large lighter than air airships enter service before 2050?

Will an airship capable of lifting 100,000+ kg exist in 2035?

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2040?

Will more than 50 new large lighter than air airships enter service before 2030?

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2045?

Will more than 100 new passenger lighter than air airships enter service before 2050?

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