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Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

Jun 12, 1:39 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

27182508

OptionProbability

Gene Editing Therapies

Therapies to reverse cardiovascular diseases

Personalized medicine based on patient's genetic profile

Autonomous Drone Swarms Dominating Land and Air Combat

Regenerative Medicine

Brain-Computer Interfaces

Humanoid Robots in Service/Logistics Roles

Heat pumps and solar panels for heating homes

Solar panels with 40% efficiency

Bioprinting

Synthetic Meat Indistinguishable from Real Meat

Therapies to reverse neurodegenerative diseases

Transoceanic fully autonomous container crossing without onboard crew

Fully Autonomous Cargo Ships

Human-level AGI

Artificial Photosynthesis (10% efficiency in converting sunlight to chemical energy)

viable cloned organs using your own DNA as base (i.e. no autoimmune organ rejection)

Solid-state EV batteries ≥ 500 Wh/kg in mass-produced cars

Space-Based Manufacturing

A Specific ‘Longevity Drug’ or Defined Drug Combination that Extends Average Human Healthspan by at Least 10 Years

Desalination with Energy Consumption Below 1.5 kWh/m³

Seafloor Mining Robots

Cancer Vaccine Targeting Multiple Types of Cancer

Quantum Computing Applications

Lunar Bases

Non-invasive colon cancer screening that is equally or more effective than a Colonoscopy

Nanorobots for Precision Drug Delivery

Self-Healing Materials for Infrastructure

Advanced Exoskeletons for Everyday Use

Graphene semiconductor electronics

Male pattern baldness treatment that consistently turns Nowood 7 to Norwood 1 (no surgery/grafts)

Moon base

Major resurgence of lighter than air craft for shipping or consumer travel/leisure

Britain finishes HS2

Photonic computing

Commercial asteroid mining

Smart Contact Lenses with AR Capabilities

More than half of all commercial ships built between 2030-2050 have the option to supplement their power burn with wind power (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9R6ln7pr5QU)

Artificial Wombs for Human Gestation (from conception to birth)

Hypersonic commercial passenger travel

Datacenters in space

Joywire

Medication that adds 30 lbs+ muscle with no major negative health effects

Nuclear powered cargo ships

Room-Temperature Atmospheric-Pressure Superconductors

Fast travel across the globe

Commercial fusion power

AI that produces AAA-level video games via end-user prompts

Mars Base

Point-to-Point Suborbital Spaceflight (Regularly Scheduled Passenger Transport)

City-scale fully automated underground logistics networks

Nuclear microreactors that can be used anywhere

Biohybrid Robots with Living Muscle Tissue

Nuclear Thermal Rockets

Cryonics with Successful Revival

Universal Flu Vaccine (effictive against all current and future strains)

Food with bioengineered saturated fat that doesn't raise cholesterol

Commercial satellite to ground power transmission

Self-Actuating Metamaterials for Adaptive Structures in Buildings and Infrastructure

Changing the height of an adult at will

Von Neumann Probe

Orbital Habitats

Self-Replicating Fully-Automated Factories

Fusion Drives

Engineered Symbiotic Microorganism Implants for Human Physiological Augmentation

Human Mind Uploading

Space-to-Earth power stations

Space probes travelling at >=1% speed of light

Direct Cognitive Collaboration

Cell replacement therapy using synthetic cells

A skyhook space structure in LEO

Human sex change at chromosome level

Autonomous Flying Cars in Cities

Human Missions to Mars with Round-Trip Travel Time Under 6 Months

Changing a person's race at will

Room-Temperature Superconducting Transmission Lines in Urban Power Grids

Commercial cold fusion

Vacuum Airships

Time travel to the future

Space Elevator

Quantum Sensors Enabling Detection of Cancer Years Before Symptoms

Antimatter bombs

1% Dyson sphere coverage

Faster then Light Propulsion

Temporal Cloaking Device (Hiding Events in Time)

Time travel to the past

Reality Anchoring Device (Stabilizing Subjective Reality)

Will a vacuum lift technology be discovered or invented before 2040?

Jun 28, 12:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.25%chance

281570

OptionVotes

YES

1526

837

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2050?

Jun 21, 2:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

45.88%chance

10312

OptionVotes

YES

205

172

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2035?

Jun 21, 2:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.84%chance

8183

OptionVotes

YES

281

124

Will more than 100 new large lighter than air airships enter service before 2050?

Jun 21, 10:25 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.9%chance

9154

OptionVotes

YES

220

201

Will an airship capable of lifting 100,000+ kg exist in 2035?

Jan 30, 7:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.27%chance

9131

OptionVotes

YES

210

173

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2040?

Jun 21, 2:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29%chance

591

OptionVotes

YES

178

101

Will more than 50 new large lighter than air airships enter service before 2030?

Jun 21, 10:24 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.79%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

140

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2045?

Jun 21, 2:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.91%chance

228

OptionVotes

YES

Will more than 100 new passenger lighter than air airships enter service before 2050?

Jun 21, 11:14 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38%chance

323

OptionVotes

YES

105

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Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

Will a vacuum lift technology be discovered or invented before 2040?

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2050?

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2035?

Will more than 100 new large lighter than air airships enter service before 2050?

Will an airship capable of lifting 100,000+ kg exist in 2035?

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2040?

Will more than 50 new large lighter than air airships enter service before 2030?

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2045?

Will more than 100 new passenger lighter than air airships enter service before 2050?

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