AKS News
Prediction markets for AKS
OptionProbability
2007
1838
OptionProbability
1720
1374
Who or what will President Trump go after before the end of 2025?
Mar 12, 3:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
17172309
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
99
93
85
83
83
82
81
80
76
74
73
70
68
65
63
62
60
60
58
55
54
53
53
50
50
50
50
50
43
40
38
37
35
33
31
31
29
28
28
27
27
26
26
25
24
23
20
19
19
19
17
14
12
12
12
10
6
4
3
2
0
OptionVotes
2007
166
OptionVotes
1754
816
OptionVotes
1469
777
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (aka AOC) be charged with a federal crime by February 1, 2029?
Feb 17, 10:39 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM
19.01%chance
141470
OptionVotes
2064
484
Will Aonishiki be Sekiwake for the September 2025 Banzuke? (Sumo Aki Basho)
Jul 28, 4:27 PMSep 1, 4:27 PM
17.21%chance
51229
OptionVotes
2193
456
Will a serious incident caused by AI happen that causes a severe public backlash (akin to Nuclear Fission) by 2040?
Mar 20, 9:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
66.2%chance
15304
OptionVotes
1076
951
Will any LLM be able to consistently play Akinator correctly as the user by 2028?
Sep 28, 11:56 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM
78.97%chance
11171
OptionVotes
1120
947
Will TWA 800 crash lawsuit Krick v. Raytheon (Case 1:22-cv-11032-AK) be ruled in favor of the plaintiffs?
Jun 1, 8:09 PMJun 2, 5:59 AM
47.04%chance
4170
OptionVotes
1061
942
Which incumbent Representative or Senator will have the lowest WAR in the 2026 Midterm US Congressional Elections?
Feb 10, 4:07 AMFeb 17, 4:59 AM
3142
OptionProbability
44
26
15
6
5
4