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Prediction markets for All Country World Index

Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM

6.21%chance

906447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2009

1523

Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

Jun 20, 10:38 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

44.01%chance

324918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

887

USA's 2025 Economist Democracy Index score?

Apr 17, 8:07 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

124712

OptionProbability

7 - 7.99

6 - 6.99

5 - 5.99

Below 5

8 - 8.99

9 - 10

55

28

14

1

1

1

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.8%chance

11360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10122

9934

Will the United States become a dictatorship by 2100?

Mar 24, 3:56 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

26.14%chance

14293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

174

Will 40% of world’s population or more live in authoritarian regimes before 2030?

Feb 16, 7:01 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

81.68%chance

7150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

298

117

Will any of the top 10 countries in The Economist’s 2025 Democracy Index have a directly elected head of government?

Mar 22, 3:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.33%chance

3135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

43

Will half of the world’s population or more live in democracies before 2030?

Feb 16, 6:34 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

20.5%chance

6120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

139

Will the country ranked #1 in The Economist’s 2025 Democracy Index have a directly elected head of state?

Mar 22, 3:15 PMJan 17, 11:59 PM

32.86%chance

446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143

70

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