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All Country World Index News
Prediction markets for All Country World Index
Prediction markets for All Country World Index
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 11, 5:42 AM
Mar 1, 12:59 PM
5%
chance
91
8354
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2482
1495
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
Jun 20, 10:38 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
44.01%
chance
32
4918
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1128
887
Will the country ranked #1 in The Economist’s 2025 Democracy Index have a directly elected head of state?
Mar 22, 3:15 PM
Feb 8, 11:59 PM
6%
chance
13
1357
Option
Votes
YES
NO
396
25
Will any of the top 10 countries in The Economist’s 2025 Democracy Index have a directly elected head of government?
Mar 22, 3:18 PM
Feb 8, 11:59 PM
4.56%
chance
6
527
Option
Votes
YES
NO
457
22
By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?
Mar 31, 7:04 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
28.8%
chance
11
360
Option
Votes
YES
NO
10122
9934
Will the United States become a dictatorship by 2100?
Mar 24, 3:56 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
27.69%
chance
15
297
Option
Votes
YES
NO
190
178
Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?
Jan 21, 6:19 PM
Dec 30, 11:59 PM
9.06%
chance
2
253
Option
Votes
YES
NO
317
32
Will 40% of world’s population or more live in authoritarian regimes before 2030?
Feb 16, 7:01 PM
Mar 1, 7:59 AM
81.68%
chance
7
150
Option
Votes
NO
YES
298
117
Will half of the world’s population or more live in democracies before 2030?
Feb 16, 6:34 PM
Mar 1, 7:59 AM
20.5%
chance
6
120
Option
Votes
YES
NO
240
139
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