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13 hours ago

Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 80% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?

Oct 1, 1:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.1%chance

10605

OptionVotes

YES

240

135

Will The S&P 500 Close Higher Week To Week More Often Than Closing Lower Week To Week* For All Of 2025?

Dec 27, 9:16 PMDec 26, 9:00 PM

52.36%chance

7377

OptionVotes

YES

1048

954

Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 50% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?

Oct 1, 1:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.56%chance

14336

OptionVotes

YES

208

174

🏦 The All Memeing Bank 🏦 - will I lend more than 100k mana in 2025?

Apr 14, 3:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.47%chance

6249

OptionVotes

YES

292

Will more than 20% of all transoceanic freight/shipping be routed through the Arctic before 2050?

Aug 31, 5:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.29%chance

7229

OptionVotes

YES

121

Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040?

Mar 17, 6:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.75%chance

3166

OptionVotes

YES

231

When will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 90% of all car sales in the USA?

Jul 30, 8:15 PMJul 31, 6:59 AM

47.94%chance

5119

OptionProbability

YES

386

190

Has John Carmack lost more than 2 IQ points due to toxins from all the diet coke he has been drinking?

Oct 5, 4:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.06%chance

435

OptionVotes

YES

143

119

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Prediction markets for All the More

Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 80% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?

Will The S&P 500 Close Higher Week To Week More Often Than Closing Lower Week To Week* For All Of 2025?

Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 50% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?

🏦 The All Memeing Bank 🏦 - will I lend more than 100k mana in 2025?

Will more than 20% of all transoceanic freight/shipping be routed through the Arctic before 2050?

Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040?

When will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 90% of all car sales in the USA?

Has John Carmack lost more than 2 IQ points due to toxins from all the diet coke he has been drinking?

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