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What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

17280548

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

Will we try to deflect asteroid 2024 YR4 before 2032-12-22?

Feb 6, 1:54 AMDec 23, 3:59 AM

1.67%chance

3426556

OptionVotes

YES

7669

130

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

71.32%chance

7011582

OptionVotes

YES

1578

635

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Jul 4, 3:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62.44%chance

555211

OptionVotes

YES

1461

556

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

Apr 18, 1:49 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

88.18%chance

424230

OptionVotes

YES

1374

870

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

53421

OptionProbability

Gallium

Germanium

Neodymium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Indium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2030

Jul 4, 3:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

73.79%chance

321826

OptionVotes

YES

1595

604

Will the new programming language Mojo enter the TIOBE Top 20 popularity index before 2027?

May 5, 3:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.03%chance

271624

OptionVotes

YES

1766

829

Will more people die in (major) plane crashes than (major) train crashes in 2026?

Feb 17, 6:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.11%chance

131565

OptionVotes

YES

1359

736

Melee - S Tier ETF (Permanent)

Mar 12, 8:31 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

91021

OptionProbability

YES

968

762

A Chinese car is one of the top 5 best selling passenger car models in Canada in 2026

Jan 16, 9:52 PMJan 16, 11:59 PM

13.98%chance

18665

OptionVotes

YES

1263

1038

Will an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?

Aug 3, 6:57 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

40.89%chance

8472

OptionVotes

YES

1202

832

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What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Will we try to deflect asteroid 2024 YR4 before 2032-12-22?

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2030

Will the new programming language Mojo enter the TIOBE Top 20 popularity index before 2027?

Will more people die in (major) plane crashes than (major) train crashes in 2026?

Melee - S Tier ETF (Permanent)

A Chinese car is one of the top 5 best selling passenger car models in Canada in 2026

Will an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?

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