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Prediction markets for Alloy

Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028?

Dec 27, 7:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

10.18%chance

253691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1837

839

Vanadium in VRFBs reach 20% of global vanadium consumption by 2030?

Nov 26, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.83%chance

101668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

902

Will the APT tungsten price exceed $5,000 per mtu on May 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 9:08 PMMay 1, 9:06 PM

16.37%chance

4646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

44

AI plays large role in determining how to mix heavy elements into alloys to take advantage of quantum properties by 2030

Jun 8, 3:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.87%chance

10420

OptionVotes

NO

YES

148

148

Will global vanadium production (mine + co-product, contained V) in 2027 be at least 140,000 tonnes of V?

Nov 26, 5:36 AMMar 29, 10:59 PM

45.27%chance

6255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Ansible Device to rely on quantum properties with alloys made from exotic elements heavier than 100 before 2100

Jun 8, 3:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.98%chance

4224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

157

57

Will stainless steel prices exceed 4500 yuan per tonne on May 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 9:07 PMMay 1, 9:05 PM

86.21%chance

1150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

250

40

Will stainless steel prices exceed 4000 yuan per tonne on May 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 9:07 PMMay 1, 9:05 PM

80%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will stainless steel prices exceed 3500 yuan per tonne on May 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 9:06 PMMay 1, 9:05 PM

80%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will the TTM tantalum price for concentrate imports exceed $170 per pound on April 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:08 PMApr 1, 6:07 PM

31.76%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

64

Will the TTM tantalum concentrate import price exceed 160 USD/lb on May 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:08 PMMay 1, 6:07 PM

31.76%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

64

Will the TTM tantalum price for concentrate imports exceed 170 USD/lb on May 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:08 PMMay 1, 6:07 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

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