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Alloy News
Prediction markets for Alloy
Prediction markets for Alloy
Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028?
Dec 27, 7:27 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
6.09%
chance
26
4695
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2872
751
Vanadium in VRFBs reach 20% of global vanadium consumption by 2030?
Nov 26, 5:46 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35.6%
chance
12
4630
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1346
744
AI plays large role in determining how to mix heavy elements into alloys to take advantage of quantum properties by 2030
Jun 8, 3:31 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
59.87%
chance
10
420
Option
Votes
NO
YES
148
148
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on June 30, 2026?
Apr 8, 2:36 PM
Jun 30, 4:00 AM
56%
chance
12
285
Option
Votes
NO
YES
128
11
Will global vanadium production (mine + co-product, contained V) in 2027 be at least 140,000 tonnes of V?
Nov 26, 5:36 AM
Mar 29, 10:59 PM
45.27%
chance
6
255
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1100
909
Ansible Device to rely on quantum properties with alloys made from exotic elements heavier than 100 before 2100
Jun 8, 3:43 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
21.98%
chance
4
224
Option
Votes
YES
NO
157
57
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on June 30, 2027?
Apr 8, 2:35 PM
Jun 30, 4:00 AM
68.3%
chance
2
48
Option
Votes
NO
YES
110
95
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2027?
Apr 8, 2:17 PM
Dec 31, 5:00 AM
67.51%
chance
2
25
Option
Votes
YES
NO
104
92
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2026?
Apr 8, 2:17 PM
Dec 31, 5:00 AM
56.94%
chance
1
15
Option
Votes
NO
YES
115
87
Could the Trinity test ignite the atmosphere if the atmosphere were made of something else?
Aug 6, 5:25 PM
Aug 7, 6:59 AM
0
0
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