AlphaZero News

DeepMind Embeds SIMA Agent in Genie 3 to Advance Game-Based AI Research

1 day ago

By when will LLM chess bots beat other engines? (Permanent)

Apr 1, 2:37 PMJan 31, 7:59 AM

112369429

OptionProbability

2050 or earlier

2100 or earlier

2040 or earlier

2030 or earlier

2029 or earlier

2028 or earlier

End of 2025 or earlier

End of 2026 or earlier

2027 or earlier

2024, by Election Day

Will a blank-slate AI prove the infinitude of primes by 2025-11-03?

Nov 3, 6:08 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

25%chance

14219615

OptionVotes

YES

3527

720

AI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035

Jul 12, 12:29 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

26.41%chance

576479

OptionVotes

YES

1080

515

Do LLMs experience qualia?

Jul 20, 1:12 AMJan 1, 2:08 AM

27.28%chance

755600

OptionVotes

YES

340

269

Will an LLM (a GPT-like text AI) defeat the World Champion at Chess before 2035?

Feb 16, 3:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.55%chance

433595

OptionVotes

YES

1634

496

Which chess engine will be the strongest at the end of 2031?

Apr 1, 3:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

252343

OptionProbability

Stockfish

Other

LCZero

KomodoDragon

AlphaZero

a chess engine by kenshin9000

Houdini

Will the first AI to get IMO gold cite AlphaZero?

Dec 11, 6:03 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM

63.47%chance

191636

OptionVotes

YES

1151

604

Which chess engine will be the strongest at the end of 2028?

May 1, 7:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

221114

OptionProbability

Stockfish

Other

LCZero

Torch

KomodoDragon

AlphaZero

a chess engine by kenshin9000

Houdini

Will a SOTA model be trained with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks by 2029?

May 3, 2:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.59%chance

15503

OptionVotes

YES

349

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

May 4, 6:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.35%chance

10362

OptionVotes

YES

1064

954

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By when will LLM chess bots beat other engines? (Permanent)

Will a blank-slate AI prove the infinitude of primes by 2025-11-03?

AI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035

Do LLMs experience qualia?

Will an LLM (a GPT-like text AI) defeat the World Champion at Chess before 2035?

Which chess engine will be the strongest at the end of 2031?

Will the first AI to get IMO gold cite AlphaZero?

Which chess engine will be the strongest at the end of 2028?

Will a SOTA model be trained with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks by 2029?

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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