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Prediction markets for Alps

Will Navier-Stokes be solved with the help of Google or Alphabet scientists by the end of 2027?

Sep 24, 1:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.37%chance

12066490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15646

10390

Will Alphabet divest from Anthropic by EOY?

Feb 28, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.45%chance

223988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2851

33

Will the first AI to get IMO gold cite AlphaZero?

Dec 11, 6:03 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM

63.47%chance

191636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

604

Will regulators force a split in Alphabet before 2030?

Jul 19, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.64%chance

291413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

948

Will the Alphabet and Microsoft market cap differ by at least a factor of 3 in 2030?

Feb 17, 3:00 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

33.81%chance

311250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1356

711

Will Alphabet spin off Waymo by the end of 2026?

Sep 18, 1:22 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.32%chance

101050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2044

489

Will a rider from Alpecin - Premier Tech finish within 10 seconds of Tadej Pogacar in Stage 1 of the 2026 Tour de France

Jul 1, 3:23 AMJul 4, 11:59 PM

29.62%chance

10734

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1542

649

Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?

Sep 8, 3:56 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

68.18%chance

15472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1092

682

Will a rider from Alpecin - Premier Tech finish within 15 seconds of Tadej Pogacar in Stage 1 of the 2026 Tour de France

Jul 1, 3:22 AMJul 4, 11:59 PM

40.2%chance

8340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1220

820

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?

Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?

Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will Alphabet Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 2.0

2.0 - 2.5

2.5 - 3.0

3.0 - 3.5

3.5-4.0

Above 4.0

17

17

17

17

17

17

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