OptionProbability
Jul-Aug 2026
Sep-Oct 2026
Nov-Dec 2026
May-Jun 2026
Mar-Apr 2026
Dec 2025
Jan-Feb 2026
38
29
24
4
3
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1793
847
OpenAI
Anthropic
Google (DeepMind)
xAI
Government / military lab
Open-source community
Another private company
Meta
NVIDIA
Amazon (AWS)
A decentralized/open-source collaborative effort
A project developed by a terrorist or rogue actor using open-source tools
Microsoft
76
55
35
28
20
15
996
995
1014
770
Amazon AWS
Microsoft Azure
Google Cloud
Other
39