OptionProbability
Bitcoin reaches 180K usd or more
human steps on moon again
grok 6 release date
fable (2026) releases
Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases
Saw XI Releases in USA
Bitcoin reaches 150K usd or more
trump dies
stripe ipo happens
Bitcoin reaches 130K usd or more
biden dies
trump is impeached by either house OR senate
polymarket or kalshi ipo
windows 12 announcement is made
Netanyahu out as PM of israel
Bitcoin reaches 125K usd or more
trump bombs / invades / attacks mexican territory
Earthquake magnitude 8.5 or higher somewhere in the world
Tom Scott's 'this video' reaches 80M views on Youtube
polymarket or kalshi release a credit/debit card
putin or zelensky lose power
israel opens an embassy in syria, OR announces it will
yoko ono passes away
noam chomsky passes away
commercial airline hijacked
discord IPO happens
haunted chocolatier release date known
GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #86
apple announces a touchscreen laptop
Ukraine and Russia announce any ceasefire
new super smash bros game announced (NOT A REMAKE)
llama 5 release date
playstation 6 announced
Hades 3 announced (game)
EOD Boxing Day - Dec 26
manifold raises more money
tropico 7 releases
twitter/x releases x mail to some users
openai loses another board member, or sam altman no longer ceo
onepieceexplained reaches 15k subs on youtube
Prong.Studio releases a 3rd product (not an accessory or part for an existing one)
Third dune movie officially announced
beyonce releases an album
playboi carti releases an album
apple announces a smart ring
Legally Blonde 3 release date announced
Earthquake magnitude 8.0 or higher somewhere in the world
Cy Young award winner announced
coup in an african country
the second Atlantic hurricane of the season
fourth Knives Out movie announced
anthropic stock able to be bought on nyse
new Doctor Who showrunner announced (after RTD departure)
Third dune movie releases
EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 27
grok 5 release date
Israel and Hamas announce another temporary ceasefire OR permanent ceasefire OR conflict otherwise ends
Last game of the MLB World Series ends
EOD Halloween - Oct 31
the first Atlantic hurricane of the season
First game of the MLB World Series starts
nobel peace prize winner announced
EOD Lief Erikson Day - Oct 9
iphone fold release date known
Chat GPT 6 releases to the general userbase
Twitter releases a Peer to Peer payment system to free or premium users
Spacex launches 100th rocket in one year
the first Solar eclipse of the year
Patriot Games ending day
Patriot Games starting day
someone reaches 100k traders on the creator leaderboard
the second Pacific hurricane of the season
the first Pacific hurricane of the season
fifa world cup - last game ends
EOD Fourth of July - Jul 4
Taylor swift gets married
ozempic/wegovy/glp-1 pill approved by the fda
English Wikipedia reaches 7.2M ARTICLES or more
Spacex launches 75th rocket of the year
marijuana rescheduled as a drug in the USA
the start of Amazon Prime Day(s)
Kier Starmer out
alan greenspan passes away
Manifest 2026 starts
spacex IPO happens
drake releases an album
EOD Cinco De Mayo - May 5
another trump assassination attempt
Spacex launches 50th rocket of the year
Last day of the NFL draft
undersea cables reported cut around taiwan
Imu face reveal in One Piece manga
artemis II mission launches
EOD Ides of March - Mar 15
new iphone releases (in the USA)
trump removes a cabinet member
First Apple Event of the year
the first Lunar eclipse of the year
Spacex launches 25th rocket of the year
manifold launches real money trading
EOD Fat Tuesday/Mardi Gras
nioh 3 releases in the usa (game)
First Nintendo direct of the year
doomsday clock announcement made
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