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Top stories

Trump Administration Unveils AI Action Plan With Executive Orders, Bias Ban, Upskilling Focus, and Nvidia CEO Endorsement

Executive Orders

Trump Administration Unveils AI Action Plan With Executive Orders, Bias Ban, Upskilling Focus, and Nvidia CEO Endorsement

Authors

8

3 days ago

Prediction markets for American AI

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

82.45%chance

495196105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4494

1223

In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Feb 20, 10:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

93.41%chance

46499575

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9123

908

In 2028, will at least 35m Americans be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Mar 17, 8:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8%chance

193321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1488

920

In 2028, will at least 3.5m Americans be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Mar 17, 8:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.38%chance

243227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1604

717

In 2028, will at least 3.5m (1/100) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Mar 17, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

70.16%chance

181809

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1450

703

In 2028, will at least 35m (1/10) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Mar 17, 6:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.66%chance

20926

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1257

881

Will the legality of AI training on copyrighted works be settled by, and in favor of, the American Copyright Lobby, before 2026?

Dec 24, 4:23 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

25%chance

21843

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

893

In 2028, will at least 100m Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Mar 17, 7:03 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16.36%chance

16677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

879

Will AI companies be crucially important to American Progress in the next 2 decades?

Nov 16, 4:36 PMNov 17, 7:59 AM

90.35%chance

8192

OptionVotes

NO

YES

252

138

Will American opinion of AI improve in 2025, according to Gallup?

Dec 14, 6:15 PMSep 1, 6:59 AM

38.7%chance

11150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

79

Before 2027, will an AI product from an American frontier lab readily identify Fetal Alcohol Syndrome in faces?

Sep 15, 11:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.69%chance

390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

994

Will a Latin American country pass legislation attempting to regulate AI before end of 2025?

Mar 22, 9:20 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.76%chance

371

OptionVotes

NO

YES

187

80

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