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Prediction markets for American Crime

Will Trump accept El Salvador’s offer to house U.S. criminals?

Feb 4, 4:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

12.8%chance

169433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4980

990

Will Kamala Harris (American Vice President, attorney) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.47%chance

291937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2119

893

Will there be 30+ Palestine protestors in the US Capitol building at any time before Jan 20th 2029?

Jul 27, 2:05 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

24.91%chance

181756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1736

576

Will Nikki Haley (American diplomat, politician) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.11%chance

261446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1903

904

US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028?

Apr 16, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.31%chance

71280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1981

505

Adm. Frank "Mitch" Bradley resigns by end of 2025?

Dec 2, 5:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.44%chance

5859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1859

538

Will Ted Cruz (American politician and attorney) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.57%chance

14589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1418

929

Will John Bolton (American attorney, diplomat, political commentator) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.49%chance

9491

OptionVotes

NO

YES

212

72

Will Ron DeSantis (American politician, attorney) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.95%chance

10481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

201

167

Will Josh Hawley (American politician) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Feb 2, 2:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.23%chance

13288

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1260

935

Will Stacey Abrams (American politician) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.55%chance

6268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

349

126

Immigrants Steal Jobs & Increase Crime?

Jun 17, 8:58 PMDec 31, 9:09 PM

13.89%chance

7175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

249

40

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