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Prediction markets for American
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
89%chance
530230132
OptionVotes
12091
5829
In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
Feb 20, 10:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
92%chance
479101961
OptionVotes
8074
991
What % of Americans will cite computers/technology as the US's top problem by Dec 31, 2026? (Gallup)
Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
4653117
OptionProbability
61
15
12
4
2
2
2
2
1
Will Donald Trump send out a stimulus check to the majority of american citizens during his second term?
Nov 22, 5:36 AMJan 30, 4:59 AM
34.02%chance
15716909
OptionVotes
1725
1273
If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?
Jan 21, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8616676
OptionProbability
16
16
15
14
11
10
7
6
4
1
1
Elon Musk actually gifts a SpaceX share to every American child in 2027?
Oct 19, 8:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.32%chance
12415970
OptionVotes
3034
1317
Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?
May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM
44.78%chance
473044
OptionVotes
984
961
Will there be a Wikipedia article about a "Euro-American split" by the end of 2028
Mar 6, 12:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
40.31%chance
101108
OptionVotes
3585
2721
Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?
Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM
15.65%chance
8466
OptionVotes
226
119
OptionProbability
82
9
8
1
Who will win American Samoa in the 2028 Republican presidential primaries?
Nov 5, 11:17 PMJun 30, 12:00 PM
00
OptionProbability
44
27
18
12
Who will win American Samoa in the 2028 Democratic presidential primaries?
Nov 5, 11:17 PMJun 30, 12:00 PM
00
OptionProbability
57
20
13
10