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Analyst News

    Prediction markets for Analyst

    Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision in September

    Aug 1, 4:13 PMSep 17, 5:59 PM
    9773774

    OptionProbability

    25 bps decrease

    No change

    50+ bps decrease

    Increase

    69

    29

    2

    0

    Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?

    Aug 17, 3:52 AMJan 1, 3:49 AM
    5.06%chance
    23737959

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2389

    27

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    20219

    4946

    OptionProbability

    Team will be scoreless for a quarter

    Super Bowl MVP is a quarterback

    Winning team has more total yards

    First play from scrimmage is a rush

    Opening kickoff result is a touchback

    Last play is 'victory formation'

    Player spikes ball during a touchdown celebration

    Player crying during national anthem

    Quarterback runs in for a touchdown

    Announcer says "goat"

    Player gets carted off the field

    All quarters have points scored (no 0-0 quarters)

    Current or former US President in attendance

    Announcer says "tush push"

    First score is a touchdown

    Both teams make 33 yard or longer field goal

    Team that scores last wins the game

    Score is tied again after 0-0

    Broadcast uses video from pylon camera

    Both teams score in 1st quarter

    Failed 4th down attempt

    Gatorade shower color is yellow/green

    An administrative timeout is taken

    Player goes into the blue tent

    Winning team has more passing yards

    Player with prime jersey number scores a touchdown

    Rules analyst disagrees with a decision a ref made

    Holding call in 4th quarter

    Taylor Swift is at the game

    Chains used to measure first down 1+ times

    WM Phoenix Open winning score under par is higher than Super Bowl kicking points

    First turnover is an interception

    Head coach throws a challenge flag

    Tom Brady is at the game

    Super Bowl is won by a bird team

    First score is a field goal

    Coin toss is 'heads'

    Coin toss is 'tails'

    National anthem is over 2 minutes

    Player flagged for unsportsmanlike conduct

    Head coach or player throws something on sideline in frustration

    Team scores in all 4 quarters (same team)

    50+ yard field goal is made

    Team scores in last 30 seconds of either half

    Any player scores 2+ touchdowns

    Winning margin is 10+ points

    Illegal use of hands to the face penalty given

    Kicker is iced

    2 point conversion attempted

    Team scores in the last 30 seconds of the game

    Play with one or more attempted laterals occurs

    Any player scores 7+ points individually

    Ruling on the field gets overturned by review

    Super Bowl MVP threw an interception or fumbled during the game

    No penalty called in last 5 minutes of the game

    Any current or former US president is directly referenced by announcer

    Penalty for 'roughing the passer' is given

    Either quarterback has 2+ interceptions

    Tush Push touchdown is made

    Injury timeout is taken

    Final combined total of QB pass completions is odd

    [1st half total score] > [2nd half total score]

    [Total score] > [Longest field goal made]

    First touchdown celebration includes acrobatics

    Any player has a 60+ yard reception

    Both teams complete their first pass attempt

    Special teams touchdown

    Onside kick attempt

    Player shown eating a snack on the sideline

    Jersey number of last touchdown scorer is even

    Altercation occurs between a player and a coach

    Trick play results in positive yardage

    Both teams have a 4th quarter lead

    Kick is missed

    Successful 2-point conversion

    First drive of game is a '3 and out'

    Team leading at halftime loses

    Live animal enters the field of play

    50+ yard return

    Any QB throws for 400 or more yards in the game

    Player retires immediately after game

    Backup QB gets put in the game

    A player catches the ball with one hand

    Player knocks non-player over on the sideline

    No penalties in the 4th quarter

    Any player successfully hurdles a defender

    Wild Card team makes the Super Bowl

    Teams are a rematch of a previous super bowl

    Unauthorized person gets on the field of play

    Winning team has more turnovers

    At least one team has 0 points at halftime

    Announcer says “hawk-eye”

    Team has 5+ sacks

    Final score is the same as the final score of a previous Super Bowl

    [LX total score] > [LIX total score]

    Streaker (fully or partially nude on field)

    A player listed over 260 lbs scores a touchdown

    Announcer says "stud"

    Team is a first time super bowl winner

    A player's jersey gets torn

    Unauthorized person touches midfield logo

    Player gets ejected from the game

    Score is tied at half-time

    Points scored in the first 90 seconds

    Puppy Bowl 2026 MVP shares a first or last name with the SB MVP

    Team wins by exactly one point

    QB catches a pass from any player

    Kick is successfully blocked

    There is a doink

    No rushing touchdowns scored

    Pick 6 occurs

    Game goes to OT

    Successful 'hail mary' pass is made

    Final score is scorigami

    A safety is scored

    Any player to score an octopus

    Super Bowl MVP not from winning team

    Stadium blackout occurs

    Super Bowl is canceled, postponed or rescheduled (from 2-8-2026)

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    OptionProbability

    John Brennan – Former Director of the CIA under President Obama, currently a Senior National Security and Intelligence Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

    James Comey – Former FBI Director

    James Clapper – Former Director of National Intelligence under President Obama, currently a National Security Analyst at CNN

    John Carlin – Acting Deputy Attorney General, former head of National Security Division at DoJ during the Russia Gate investigation by FBI

    Hillary Clinton – Former Democrat Party Nominee for President and Former Secretary of State under President Obama

    Merrick Garland – Attorney General under President Biden

    Kamala Harris – Vice President of the United States

    Loretta Lynch – Former Attorney General under President Obama

    Susan Rice – Former National Security Advisor under President Obama, currently Director of the Domestic Policy Council under President Biden

    Alexander Vindman – Former Director for European Affairs on the NSC under President Trump

    Fiona Hill – Former NSC staffer who worked with Vindman and Ciaramella

    John Podesta – Former Counselor to President Obama

    Lisa Page – Former Legal Counsel for Deputy Director of the FBI Andrew McCabe and currently a National Security and Legal Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

    Eric Holder – Former Attorney General under President Obama and current Senior Counsel at Covington law firm

    Robert Mueller – Former Director of the FBI and Special Counsel

    Stephen Boyd – Former head of Legislative Affairs at DoJ under Deputy Attorney General Rosenstein

    Samantha Power – Former Ambassador to the United Nations under President Obama, currently Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development

    Sally Yates – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Obama and briefly the Acting Attorney General under President Trump

    Evelyn Farkas – Former DoD official under President Obama

    Lloyd Austin – Secretary of Defense under President Biden

    Gina Haspel – Former Director of the CIA under President Trump and current advisor at King & Spalding law firm

    Andrew McCabe – Former Deputy Director of the FBI under President Trump

    Ryan McCarthy – Former Secretary of the Army under President Trump

    Mark Milley – Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    Rod Rosenstein – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Trump and current partner at King & Spalding law firm

    Jake Sullivan – National Security Advisor under President Biden

    Christopher Wray – Director of the FBI under President Trump and President Biden, former partner at King & Spalding

    James Baker – Former General Counsel for the FBI, currently a member of the Brookings Institute, former Deputy General Counsel at Twitter

    Eric Ciaramella – Former NSC staffer within the Obama and Trump administrations

    Mark Esper – Former Secretary of Defense under President Trump

    Sarah Isgur Flores – Former Head of Communications at DoJ for AG Sessions

    Curtis Heide – FBI Agent

    Lois Lerner – Former Director of the IRS under President Obama

    Denis McDonough – Former Chief of Staff for President Obama and currently Secretary of Veterans Affairs

    Lisa Monaco – Deputy Attorney General of the United States

    Pat Philbin – Former Deputy White House Counsel under President Trump

    Peter Strzok – Former Deputy Assistant Director of the FBI's Counterintelligence Division

    Michael Sussmann – Former legal representative for the Democratic National Committee and former partner at Perkins Coie law firm

    Miles Taylor – Former DHS official under President Trump, aka "Anonymous"

    Robert Hur – Special Counsel to investigate Biden and former PADAG under Rosenstein

    Andrew Weissman – Former Deputy under Special Counsel Mueller

    Michael Atkinson – Former Intelligence Community Inspector General

    Pat Cipollone – Former White House Counsel under President Trump

    Timothy Thibault – Former Assistant Special Agent at the FBI's Washington Field Office

    Joe Biden – President of the United States

    Cassidy Hutchinson – Aide to Mark Meadows

    Bruce Ohr – Former Associate Deputy Attorney General

    Brian Auten – Supervisory Intelligence Analyst within the FBI

    Bill Barr – Former Attorney General under President Trump

    John Bolton – Former National Security Advisor under President Trump

    Elizabeth Dibble – Former Deputy Chief of Mission at the US Embassy in London

    Alyssa Farah – Former Director of Strategic Communications under President Trump

    Stephanie Grisham – Former Press Secretary for President Trump and Chief of Staff for Melania Trump

    Nina Jankowicz – Former Executive Director of the Disinformation Governance Board in the Biden administration

    Charles Kupperman – Former Deputy National Security Advisor under President Trump

    Kenneth Mackenzie – Retired US Marine Corps General and former Commander of the United States Central Command

    Mary McCord – Former Acting Assistant Attorney General for National Security at the DoJ and currently the Executive Director for the Georgetown Law Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection

    Sally Moyer – Former Supervisory Attorney at the FBI and currently Legal Counsel at Cloudflare

    Bill Priestap – Former Assistant Director for the FBI Counterintelligence Division

    Nellie Ohr – Former CIA Employee and Independent Contractor for Fusion GPS

    100

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    76

    68

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    27

    Will Tesla (TSLA) reach $666 in 2025?

    May 3, 6:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    2.99%chance
    16968

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    570

    18

    TN-1 Status for Canadian Software Engineers

    May 9, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:18 PM
    69.01%chance
    7645

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    3517

    2659

    2025 Salaries by Occupation

    Feb 6, 7:48 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM
    8336

    OptionProbability

    [29-1212] Cardiologists

    [29-1242] Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric

    [15-2051] Data Scientists

    [15-1252] Software Developers

    [15-1210] Computer and Information Analysts

    [19-3011] Economists

    [27-1024] Graphic Designers

    92

    82

    36

    31

    28

    26

    26

    2040 Salaries by Occupation

    Feb 6, 7:53 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM
    7219

    OptionProbability

    [29-1212] Cardiologists

    [19-3011] Economists

    [29-1242] Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric

    [15-1210] Computer and Information Analysts

    [15-1252] Software Developers

    [15-2051] Data Scientists

    [27-1024] Graphic Designers

    87

    72

    66

    54

    43

    36

    24

    2030 Salaries by Occupation

    Feb 6, 7:52 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM
    3120

    OptionProbability

    [29-1212] Cardiologists

    [29-1242] Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric

    [19-3011] Economists

    [15-1210] Computer and Information Analysts

    [15-1252] Software Developers

    [15-2051] Data Scientists

    [27-1024] Graphic Designers

    85

    76

    66

    34

    34

    34

    24

    2035 Salaries by Occupation

    Feb 6, 7:53 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM
    675

    OptionProbability

    [29-1212] Cardiologists

    [29-1242] Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric

    [47-2152] Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters

    [15-1210] Computer and Information Analysts

    [15-1252] Software Developers

    [15-2051] Data Scientists

    [19-3011] Economists

    [27-1024] Graphic Designers

    81

    66

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    50

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    47

    25

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