ANGLE News

Will any image model available to the public be able to reliably produce images of every regular polygon before 2026?

Dec 30, 6:44 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.41%chance

12222971

OptionVotes

YES

1112

420

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2070?

Dec 17, 11:18 AMMar 3, 10:59 PM

15%chance

6216471

OptionVotes

YES

997

880

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2030?

Dec 22, 2:21 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

2.01%chance

5312212

OptionVotes

YES

2167

928

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2100?

Dec 26, 6:00 PMMar 2, 10:59 PM

18%chance

5510324

OptionVotes

YES

1012

839

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2050?

Dec 20, 11:09 AMJan 21, 10:59 PM

11.16%chance

356453

OptionVotes

YES

1005

594

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2090?

Dec 19, 1:05 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

17%chance

455209

OptionVotes

YES

999

905

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2060?

Dec 15, 9:37 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

11.48%chance

444749

OptionVotes

YES

970

875

AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)?

May 29, 12:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.44%chance

473985

OptionVotes

YES

1439

695

Will you be able to use AI tools to create believable adult movies by the end of 2026?

Jan 23, 9:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.44%chance

531613

OptionVotes

YES

1214

837

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

Jan 10, 1:11 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

261497

OptionProbability

A day will be 24 hours, 39 minutes and 35.244 SI seconds long

A day will be 24h×60m×60s using a "mars second" equal to 1.0275 SI seconds.

Other

A day will be 24h×60m×60s where a "second" is a unit of angle rather than time, equal to 1/86400 of a revolution w.r.t the sun (i.e. the equivalent of Earth's UT1, this is called "Coordinated Mars Time")

A day will be 24h×60m×60s using SI seconds (and will drift with respect to mean solar time by ~40 minutes a day)

Time of day will be an incrementing number of SI seconds from 0 to 88775.244 (possibly rounded to an integer, with leap-seconds every 4 days or whatever, or no leap seconds and allowing it to drift)

Starship flight 10 soft touchdown?

May 28, 3:23 PMAug 14, 3:14 PM

38%chance

131139

OptionVotes

YES

1277

783

Will I have a reliable automated home cleaner by 2028?

Sep 29, 6:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

46.35%chance

25776

OptionVotes

YES

1162

753

ANGLE News

Prediction markets for ANGLE

Prediction markets for ANGLE

Prediction markets for ANGLE

Will any image model available to the public be able to reliably produce images of every regular polygon before 2026?

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2070?

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2030?

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2100?

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2050?

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2090?

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2060?

AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)?

Will you be able to use AI tools to create believable adult movies by the end of 2026?

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

Starship flight 10 soft touchdown?

Will I have a reliable automated home cleaner by 2028?

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