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Prediction markets for Animal Company

When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users?

Nov 20, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3818873

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

54

52

44

35

18

0

Will Koi be the first species we uplift?

Dec 20, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.95%chance

728703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2438

1224

Will AGI arrive before Frozen 3?

Apr 25, 5:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.72%chance

205734

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4744

1120

Will a four-legged robot run faster than a cheetah over a long distance outdoors before 2035?

Aug 7, 7:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

86.58%chance

271461

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1513

872

Will ASI be achieved less than a year after continual learning?

May 28, 11:55 PMApr 8, 10:59 PM

31.49%chance

13707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1475

678

Colossal Biosciences: which happens first?

Aug 21, 2:22 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7218

OptionProbability

None of the above by Jan1 2029

Company is out of business

Company is acquired by another company.

Company announces the birth of a Dodo (hybrid)

Company announces the birth of a Woolly Mammoth (hybrid)

Other

34

26

16

15

6

1

Perfect Day products receive EU approval by EOY2026?

Jun 29, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.48%chance

266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

68

Now WildBrain buys Aardman in 2029

Feb 10, 3:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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