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Prediction markets for Anime of the Year

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.58%chance

47789897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7410

4932

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?

Feb 27, 12:30 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

76.17%chance

14426832

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3357

3047

Will there be a year, before 2040, in which total AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Mar 16, 11:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.12%chance

7910829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4258

871

When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users?

Nov 20, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

229157

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

53

48

43

41

34

24

Will AGI arrive before Frozen 3?

Apr 25, 5:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.61%chance

162204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2981

1492

Will there be a year, before 2030, in which total AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Mar 16, 11:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.69%chance

161559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

749

Will there be a year, before 2030, in which net AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Mar 17, 12:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32.08%chance

121034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1255

816

Will I become vegan/vegetarian/pescatarian before 2030?

Jun 2, 1:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.58%chance

14997

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

966

Will there be a year, before 2040, in which net AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Mar 17, 12:03 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.23%chance

13367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1079

886

In what year will the number of US states that ban animal meat surpass the number that ban lab meat

May 8, 4:33 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

652

In five years, the scientific consensus will be that ctenophores are the sister group to all other animals.

Sep 30, 4:31 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM

45.52%chance

441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

109

Will a new Tsukihime anime adaptation be released within five years of the Tsukihime remake being fully released?

Feb 16, 1:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.81%chance

111

OptionVotes

NO

YES

61

41

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