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Prediction markets for Annex

Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?

Dec 3, 8:38 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

4.35%chance

7723299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4691

213

Will Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)?

Nov 17, 10:44 PMNov 18, 4:59 AM

15.96%chance

356674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2295

436

Will Israel fully annex the west bank by 2045?

Sep 23, 6:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.5%chance

186162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1804

554

If Russia does NOT annex Ukraine before 2024, will Ukraine's 2030 real GDP be over 180bn USD (in 2020 US dollars)?

Feb 23, 8:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.16%chance

231866

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1129

920

By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?

Mar 29, 2:30 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

19%chance

211509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

819

Will the US annex a soveign state before the end of 2050

Dec 22, 10:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.18%chance

10822

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1521

657

Will Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026?

Jan 10, 10:39 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

43%chance

6785

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

869

Will any of the following Western countries attempt to annex another country before 2030?

Feb 13, 9:02 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16.15%chance

18662

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1034

525

Will Russia annex Belarus until 2030?

Feb 21, 12:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.61%chance

18463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1136

949

Will Russia annex either Abkhazia or South Ossetia before 2030?

Mar 17, 10:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.12%chance

17429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

913

Will China annex any portion of Russia/Siberia by 2035?

Oct 6, 9:10 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

20.22%chance

12239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1132

938

Conditional on USA annexing Greenland, how much time will pass before it is reversed?

Jan 12, 8:32 PMFeb 1, 8:29 PM

6157

OptionProbability

8+ years

4-8 years

2-4 years

1-2 years

6-12 months

<1 month

1-3 months

3-6 months

Other

25

24

22

10

5

4

4

4

3

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