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Prediction markets for anniversary

Will @realDonaldTrump celebrate the TWO YEAR ANNIVERSARY of his MUG SHOT on X?

Aug 25, 9:18 PMAug 25, 9:59 PM

32.91%chance

342706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1428

700

Will Sam Altman be alive on the one year anniversary of strong AGI being credibly announced?

Mar 26, 5:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.66%chance

132012

OptionVotes

NO

YES

402

134

Will our Steam game Heartseeker surpass 1000 sales by Oct 5th 2031 (10th anniversary of release)?

Dec 2, 3:35 AMOct 6, 3:59 AM

87.19%chance

341513

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2055

710

Will Manifold look positively at the US bombing of Iranian nuclear sides on June 21st 2025 at their anniversary?

Jun 22, 1:15 AMJun 22, 6:59 AM

37.22%chance

211474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1299

770

Will any xkcd comic published in 2025 reference xkcd's 20th anniversary?

Jan 24, 8:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.96%chance

281441

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1998

501

Will the Sagrada Familia church be fully complete by EOY 2026, the 100th anniversary of Antoni Gaudi's death?

Nov 27, 7:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.47%chance

241360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

875

Will the Sagrada Familia church be fully complete by EOY 2032, the 180th anniversary of Antoni Gaudi's birth?

Nov 27, 7:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.17%chance

17375

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1065

939

Will me and my wife reach our 20 year anniversary?

Dec 23, 8:30 PMMar 26, 6:59 AM

84.25%chance

12288

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1078

969

Will the value of any of the cards printed in the Magic: 30th Anniversary set exceed the price of an MSRP sealed booster box by the end of 2027?

Oct 4, 5:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

74%chance

10233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1123

930

Result of the 150 Year Anniversary Test Match

Jul 22, 11:39 AMJul 23, 11:38 AM

3199

OptionProbability

Australia

Other

Draw

England

59

21

11

8

Will Arizona Iced Tea’s signature “Big Can” be priced $0.99 on their 50th anniversary?

Feb 26, 6:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.73%chance

8138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

175

Will Infinite Jest get a 30th anniversary edition before 2027?

Jan 27, 11:33 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

65.57%chance

1138

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

72

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