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Prediction markets for Antarctic Treaty

Which territories will the USA acquire by 2050?

Jan 1, 10:00 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

163316

OptionProbability

any part of the Moon

any part of Antarctica

any Pacific Island

Panama Canal Zone

Greenland

any Caribbean Island

Canada

Mexico

62

34

27

26

25

24

15

7

Will the USA make a territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?

Sep 11, 6:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

19.68%chance

12484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1321

894

Will China make a claim on Antarctica before 2030?

Nov 25, 5:53 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

28.68%chance

9260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

120

Will Russia make a territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?

Sep 11, 6:18 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

22.81%chance

14212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

952

Will any country make a (new) territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?

Sep 11, 6:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

28.41%chance

10188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

112

Will activities banned by the Antarctica Treaty take place before 2030?

Sep 12, 9:15 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

46.93%chance

856

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

147

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