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Top stories

Vercel Launches AI Gateway API with Claude Code Support, Zero Markup Billing, and Fallback Mechanism

Vercel Launches AI Gateway API with Claude Code Support, Zero Markup Billing, and Fallback Mechanism

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for API

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

67.33%chance

9558194

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144253

69986

Will OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?

Apr 4, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.42%chance

387095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2486

796

Will I find any serious bugs in my website's API within a week of release?

Jan 27, 6:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.23%chance

373364

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1914

702

Before 2029, will OpenAI derive less than 25% of revenue from token-priced API access?

Jun 5, 2:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.54%chance

41055

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1802

555

Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?

Jun 14, 1:40 AMDec 1, 5:59 AM

35.35%chance

7876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10313

9761

Will Manifold's API Add Fractional Limit Orders?

Feb 13, 6:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.95%chance

11598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

55

Will computer use APIs beat fight amazon + ebay Captchas to enable price comparisons? at mid 2027

May 31, 1:02 AMJul 1, 12:59 AM

70.93%chance

3582

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1562

640

Will API pose an existential threat to humanity before 2050?

Oct 2, 3:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7%chance

6430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

320

86

Before 2029, will OpenAI provide API access to a frontier LLM with 100,000,000+ context length?

Aug 12, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.92%chance

4194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

979

Will Anthropic's API uptime fall below 98% in 2026?

Apr 19, 9:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.34%chance

3155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1143

875

Will API keys, private passwords, or other personal information be systematically leaked by moltbook users?

Feb 2, 9:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.78%chance

5103

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMAug 20, 7:59 PM

68.73%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

97

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