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Top stories

Apple Plans 2026 Watch Overhaul With Eight-Sensor Health Ring

Apple Plans 2026 Watch Overhaul With Eight-Sensor Health Ring

Authors

17

4 months ago

iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow

iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow

Authors

10

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Apple Intelligence

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

62.79%chance

6342394

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129891

76988

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.72%chance

1418719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3323

1983

Will Apple face regulatory action from the EU for failing to deploy Apple Intelligence?

Jun 23, 1:00 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

6.47%chance

333543

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3802

263

What will be true of Apple’s rumored A-chip Macbook?

Jun 30, 3:48 PMMay 1, 3:41 PM

152729

OptionProbability

It will cost <= US $800

It will be available in at least two non-monochromatic colors

It will run MacOS

It will cost <= $700

It will have a screen smaller than 13"

It will have the same dimensions, weight and screen as the M4 MacBook Air.

It will have no more than 8gb RAM.

It will be called iBook

90

83

82

62

39

33

24

17

Which company is Broadcom's mystery $10B XPU customer?

Oct 13, 9:13 PMOct 14, 9:10 PM

82598

OptionProbability

Anthropic

xAI

Apple

Oracle

Microsoft

Amazon

Tesla

CoreWeave

Alibaba

Tencent

Baidu

ByteDance

82

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

When will Apple, Inc. turn Apple Intelligence into a paid, premium service and begin charging users for access?

Jun 11, 2:34 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

161081

OptionProbability

2028+ or never

2027

2026

2025

2024

55

21

11

10

3

What will be the biggest company by the end of 2025?

Oct 20, 7:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

151018

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Apple

Google

Microsoft

87

11

2

1

Kramer Intelligence overtakes Apple Intelligence by the end of 2026?

Jul 4, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.28%chance

6213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

313

32

Will Apple Intelligence for iOS be available (in German) in Switzerland before Germany?

Sep 26, 1:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.14%chance

7201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

When will Apple release its “HomePod with a screen” device?

Jan 12, 3:31 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

671

OptionProbability

September 2025

October 2025

November 2025

December 2025

Other

June 2025

March 2025

April 2025

May 2025

26

18

17

16

10

5

3

3

3

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